There’s always something to howl about.

Keeping Up With What Frank Doesn’t Know — Earth Round — Circles Sun

There’s a mindset that has always befuddled me. It’s origin seems to be grounded in the belief that if I’ve believed X for years, than something proclaimed to be superior to X just can’t be true. Furthermore, the evidence I point to, is how many people agree with my belief in X.

Huh?

The world’s population believed the earth was flat, and that the sun circled it. They were wrong. However, when Copernicus found empirical evidence to the contrary, he was wrong, because he was virtually alone. (Sometimes I think Greg Swann is directly descended from Copernicus.) πŸ™‚ The central argument against him was — all, 100%, totally — false data based upon a long held belief — which was based upon subjective interpretations of bad science — and anger at having their food dishes moved. How dare Copernicus?!

Those arguing for 401(k)’s as superior to F.I.U.L.’s (Now, often referred to as E.I.U.L.) are no doubt sincere in their beliefs. The problem is, when they retire, they’ll notice the guy next door who opted for the insurance approach, and realize very quickly, sadly too, I’m sure — they were sincerely wrong.

I watched NOVA last night, and they said without reservation that the earth is still round, and it revolves around the sun, not the other way around.

My hope is, this post hits its intended target: Those who run companies. Employees who are relying upon the experts made available to them — by their employers.

Before I continue, let me correct a mistake made in one the previous two posts. I’d misread a ‘3’ for a ‘2’ and subsequently wrote 20 instead of 30 years for one of my examples. My error — as I reviewed the document, it indeed read 30 years, not 20. This resulted in misstating one of my numbers. This didn’t change the outcome of the piece though, as you’ll shortly see for yourself.

As we get into the nitty-gritty of the actual comparison of 401(k)’s and F.I.U.L.’s, let’s establish exactly where I’m getting the numbers, and if the source I’m using is credible. πŸ™‚ I do this because it became clear after my first two posts that there are a small percentage of readers who object loudly, and in some cases rudely when their food dishes are moved.

I’m using Doug Johns for my source. He’s an expert of many years with various retirement strategies, specializing in asset management, and investment grade insurance as a source for tax free retirement income. He uses a couple firms, one of them a monster company, Aviva, which is a $600 Billion operation. They offer as one of their popular investment vehicles, the F.I.U.L. (Also known as E.I.U.L.) Aviva, not too long ago, bought out Indianapolis Life — probably with money in their change drawer. πŸ™‚ They are consistently awarded high ratings in the industry. In other words, they’re solid, respectable, and they know what they’re doing. I’m using their numbers, which are, by the way, generated by their own software.Their software was used exclusively by Doug for the numbers used in this post.

Since I know there will be some, even after they find out the earth is round, not flat, who will insist on knowing this. I’ll even include the source and name of the damn software used to arrive at the numbers used below. For those who will insist I’m either all wet, making it up as I go, or just flat wrong, the software used is Aviva–Fiserv 2.90.0.20. Aviva wanted the numbers used by experts selling their policies, to be absolutely unassailable — so they created their very own software to ensure just that. If some are still not satisfied with the numbers in this post — that’s absolutely OK. Just don’t ask me to explain any further — I don’t care if you disagree. 2 + 2 = 4 and always will. You simply can’t do these numbers on your $19.95 calculator because the mathematical process used to arrive at the insurance numbers is not as simple as arriving at the 401(k) figures.

I only understand their equations conceptually myself — and I’m not losing sleep. They’re the experts. These numbers aren’t new to them. I strongly urge you to contact an experienced financial planner who will then be charged with running your own personal scenario for you.

(I do understand there are two factors in the insurance equation which don’t exist the in the relatively simple numbers of the 401(k)s. They are cash value and death benefit. When those are factored in, all the calculators out there go off the tracks.)

Once you see the results of that scenario, you will cease caring so much about your food dish being moved, and more about how to get the heck out of your relatively worthless 401(k) πŸ™‚

Message to the folks who’ve been rather, um, unkind — most of you will be the only ones suffering from your head-in-the-sand approach to new information. The problem though, are folks who should know better, those who have the power to impact dozens if not hundreds of regular folk — (their employees.) I beg you to reconsider your position. You’re contributing to a significantly inferior retirement for your employees, simply because your food dish was moved. Please, pull your head out and become their hero. Set aside you ire for the messenger, and take the new info to your employees. At the very least, find an expert and listen to them.

OK, let’s get going.

The Fixed Index Universal Life insurance approach is one that must be structured correctly from the start, by an expert, so that the tax free status remains intact. That structure is clearly laid our in the Internal Revenue Code, which I will not bore you with here. It’s analogous to doing a tax deferred exchange — except you’re not deferring any taxes. It’s all tax free. There are many so-called real estate investment experts who screw exchanges up every year. That only proves they were incompetent, not that the tax deferred exchange is difficult to execute, or worse, fraudulent. I’ve personally executed over a hundred exchanges, many of them involving several properties moving into even more properties, while simultaneously involving multiple states. I’ve yet to have one disallowed — not one. How do you know that’s true? Easy — I’m alive to tell you it’s true. πŸ™‚ What would you do if the agent you hired screwed up your exchange, costing you $100,000? I rest my case.

That’s a long way of saying I’m simply not going to argue here, or address any inane comments about the tax free status of the F.I.U.L. It’s tax free – period. If you don’t believe it, then don’t do it. Unlike Hawkeye and Trapper, I don’t have to keep up with everything some don’t know. I’m trying to inform here — and begging folks to contact a financial planner familiar with the vehicle in question. Caveat: Not all planners are experts with this approach. If you need help finding one, I’ll step up and get you one quickly. I will make no money from any referral I may give you — though I reserve the right to an occasional free meal. πŸ™‚

Let’s revisit my daughter for a bit.

She’s 23 this month, (Friday actually.) and a year or so from her degree in child development, a career not known for its high pay scale. I’ll pay for her at first, until she finds a job after graduation. It’ll be $500 monthly. It’ll go on until she’s 63. She’ll end up with an annual income of about $208,000, tax free, for life. What would an employee have to do to match that, using a 401(k)?

Before I answer that, let’s review what convoluted logic must be followed to conclude 401(k)’s are the way to go.

The big draw is the tax deferred treatment of the original contributions made by the taxpayer. Let’s say counting federal and state taxes your combined marginal tax rate is 1/3. This means the next dollar earned will be taxed at that rate. (state & fed)

If a taxpayer gave $9,000 yearly into their qualified plan for 40 years, they’ll save, in most cases, less than $100,000 in taxes, total.

Yet, when that taxpayer retires they’ll have generated an annual income, before taxes, just short of $311,000. (We used identical annual yields over the 40 year contribution period for both approaches.) Pause to note: Again, don’t whip out your calculator and apply the same equation used to arrive at numbers for 401(k)s for the insurance numbers — it won’t work. Stop it. πŸ™‚ This taxpayer, giddy no doubt with his incredible income, will now face an annual tax bill of just under $103,000! (Probably more, but we’ll stick with that figure.) Oops. Let that sink in for a few moments.

It’s probably at this point he realizes his employer not only gave him some very questionable advice, but assisted him in screwing the pooch royally. (I’m not even going to address here the fact that at 70.5 years old the government will begin forcing minimum withdrawals, even if the taxpayer has no need or desire to do so. This can, in many cases, result in literally running out of money in the 401(k) before the taxpayer actually dies. Nice, eh?)

In just his first year of retirement using the 401(k) approach, he realizes he’s paid more in income taxes than he deferred for the 40 years it took him to get to that point.

That can’t be a pleasant epiphany.

Let’s say he lives for 20 years. Assuming taxes don’t change, he’ll have paid over $2 MILLION in taxes in half the time it took him to defer less than $100,000. In fact, he paid more taxes in his first year of retirement, than he saved in the entire 40 year contribution period.

Tell me again how smart that approach is? πŸ™‚

This means the advice his employer offered him, said or at least implied the following:

We’re going to save you a dollar in taxes (total) over 40 years in return for the much sought after privilege of paying a dollar every year of their retirement until they die. Solid thinking. Try this on your 10 year old at home. It’s even money, if he gets at least C’s in math, he’ll think your joking inside of 60 seconds.

This is where epiphany #2 hits our taxpayer. 401(k)’s are the result of Purposeful Planning used by Uncle Sam. His Plan was to produce the maximum amount of cash flow from Baby Boomers through income taxes at retirement — and upon their death.

By the time this Baby Boomer taxpayer dies, the cause of death may very well have been taxes. πŸ™‚

My daughter, you’ll remember, put in $500 a month for 40 years. To equal her income after taxes, the 401(k) will have to be fed 50% more — $750 a month. Do you know anybody employed by a firm who matches contributions for as much as the employee wishes to invest? There may be some, but I’ve not run into one yet. They usually limit their matching to 3-6% of income. If the employee earns $60,000 yearly, he’ll only be matched up to a whopping $300 a month — and that’s best case. Woohoo!

So far my girl puts in $500/mo. for 40 years and gets $208,000 a year, tax free, for life. Her buddy next door who works for the employer who judged this subject as unworthy of his time, gets the same, after paying six figures of taxes every year. Of course his monthly investment was higher. Duh

Do you think with the Social Security crisis on the horizon, along with the aging of the Baby Boomers, that taxes are going to remain what they are today? If you do, I’ve got some sub-prime loans you might be interested in buying. πŸ™‚

Go to the tax schedules for married filing jointly and look up the bad news for taxpayers earning over $310,000 a year in your state. In California their combined fed/state marginal rate would be over 40%! So I’m being generous with my 1/3 combined marginal rate. Even if you live in a no-income tax state, you’re marginal rate will still be at least…….here it comes………..33%.

Do I hear an “Uncle!” out there yet? πŸ™‚

A few days ago Brian Brady hit the nail on the head with his post, Missed Fortune and the Wall Street Journal: The Value of a 50 Cent Financial Planner Is…About a Half a Buck. In it he refers to what he calls Boomer Economics, which is what I’ve called Grandpa Economics. 401(k)’s have taken advantage of that kind of antiquated thinking. The government put tremendous thought into these qualified plans. They needed universally attractive bait to get employees (taxpayers) to buy into their story. To the average person, paying less taxes is always a show-stopper. So congress thought, give them a tax break now, and they won’t stop to do the long term numbers. Turns out they were right — for the most part folks haven’t done the long term numbers.

I made the decision to ignore many more comparisons — but the whole beating a dead horse thing convinced me to just let them alone. They’ll be bonus surprises for those folks staying aboard the 401 train. πŸ™‚

Well now you have them. And we haven’t even touched what happens upon your death. It makes how they (gov’t) treated you while working and retired, look like a great time at the prom. πŸ™‚

Hint: your 401(k) is part of your estate. It will be taxed until your heirs bleed.

F.I.U.L.s are not part of your estate. The balance transfers to your heirs — untouched — as in untaxed.

Believe the numbers, don’t believe the numbers. I don’t have a dog in this fight, except as it relates to my family and my clients.

Good luck out there.