There’s always something to howl about.

Month: October 2008 (page 3 of 7)

How Alexander Hamilton, the father of American Rotarian Socialism, gave birth to the present economic crisis

Dr. Thomas J. DiLorenzo writing at the Ludwig von Mises Institute:

Hamilton was the intellectual leader of the group of men at the time of the founding who wanted to import the system of British mercantilism and imperialistic government to America. As long as they were on the paying side of British mercantilism and imperialism, they opposed it and even fought a revolution against it. But being on the collecting side was altogether different. It’s good to be the king, as Mel Brooks might say.

It was Hamilton who coined the phrase “The American System” to describe his economic policy of corporate welfare, protectionist tariffs, central banking, and a large public debt, even though his political descendants, the Whig Party of Henry Clay, popularized the slogan. He was not well schooled in the economics of his day, as is argued by such writers as John Steele Gordon. Unlike Jefferson, who had read, understood, and supported the free-market economic ideas of Adam Smith, David Ricardo, John Baptiste Say (whom Jefferson invited to join the faculty of the University of Virginia), Richard Cantillon, and Turgot (a bust of whom still sits in the entrance to Monticello), Hamilton either ignored or was completely unaware of these ideas. Instead, he repeated the mercantilist myths and superstitions that had been concocted by apologists for the British mercantilist state, such as Sir James Steuart.

Hamilton championed the cause of a large public debt — which he called “a public blessing” — not to establish the credit of the US government or to finance any particular public works projects but for the Machiavellian idea of tying the interests of the more affluent to the state: being government bondholders, they would, he believed, then support all of his grandiose plans for heavy taxation and a government much larger than what was called for in the Constitution. He was right. They, along with Wall Street investment bankers who have marketed the government’s bonds, have always provided effective political support for bigger government and higher taxes. That is why Wall Street investment bankers were first in line for a bailout, administered by one of Read more

The Verdict Is In

Last year on these pages I wrote posts extolling the benefits of EIUL’s. Back then I called them FIUL’s. The common usage for awhile has been the former, which we’ll stick to here. What’s an EIUL? It’s permanent insurance, designed, in essence, to deliver tax free retirement income. Some have called it investment grade insurance. It also has many other benefits, including the ability to pass the entire value of the policy tax free to heirs upon the insured’s death.

My point in the previous posts was that if folks would just be objective, they’d realize 401k’s are a trap, baited by government with paltry annual tax savings to lure us in. What folks don’t know, I wrote, is that upon retirement, a disciplined saver finds out that in 4-6 years they’ve already paid back 30 years of ‘tax savings’. Such a deal.

Why would anyone do that on purpose?

It created a barrage of comments, some seemingly personal, but most disbelieving the information imparted. What’s so ironic, is whenever we guide our clients into these vehicles, it’s at a loss to us. We make not a penny on anything done by the EIUL experts to which we refer our people.

Then why do we advise many of them to separate some of the real estate investment capital from their pile in order to acquire an EIUL? Simple — it’s the right thing to do. Yesterday I posted what happened to those who refused to believe me last year.

Those who manage their company’s qualified retirement plans? Please, pretty please, at least check into this? If you’d at least done your own objective research, you would’ve discovered I was simply tellin’ you the way it was, and was gonna be. And now, the way it is.

Those who saw the information for what it was, did not get hurt in the stock market crash of the last couple weeks. It’s been significantly hurtful to most, and absolutely devastating to a majority of American taxpayers heavily invested in mutual funds through their 401k’s.

Those who chose EIUL’s? They not only didn’t lose a penny, Read more

a Blog is a place to Connect (locally)…Part 2 of 3

In part 1, I left you a teaser about how our brokerage uses blogging to connect with OUR community. I am the technologist for a large brokerage of 110 agents that sell a LOT of real estate. I don’t apologize for that. We deliver VALUE to the agents that choose to work under our roof. Our market share is GROWING and our AGENTS are faring better in this tough market than our competitors. I am proud of that.

We DO have to communicate that success to our agents (just as you do to your clients) though, not in a “look at me” sort of way, but rather in a way that helps all of them feel a part of our large family–even if they are working out of home and are in the office infrequently. Oh yeah…we also wanted a way to connect with agents who might want to become a part of our office. Until lately, that was done via dead tree media.

One of the drawbacks was the high cost of printing quarterly newsletters. Many of our agents liked them, but some thought is was a waste of paper, and less than environmentally friendly. Our Director of Operations (there are 4 of us who kind of run the day to day here) came up with the idea of a blog as a brokerage online newsletter. Extreme Newsletter Makeover – online edition began and HotAirChronicles.com was born.

Why mention all of that? Well, there are a couple of neat plugins that we use as well as having multiple authors to keep the load light on all of us:

NextGen Photo Gallery – Ryan Ward showed me this one. Click here and on this category, you can see three posts with galleries of photos of our recent events. Here’s the thing about multiple photos with a single event: If you are doing a community blog and post about an art festival (for example) and have 20 photos. Then send a quick email out to the 30 business people in the 20 photos with a link to your blog, how many folks have you connected with Read more

I Still Haven’t Found What I’m Looking For

I have been thinking alot lately about RE Web 2.0, particularly in light of the recent news regarding Redfin and Zillow’s current layoffs.  Greg also recently posted regarding the current state of the Realty.bots.

“Indeed. We have seen the future of real estate marketing — and it is us.*”

I am not entirely convinced it has to be all us.

I am a process guy.  Prior to delving into the real estate business, I developed sales and marketing strategies for technology firms – many of which targeted supply chain solutions.  When I approach a process, I try to focus on the inherent value a particular set of activities delivers.

Perhaps the double edged sword in the real estate industry is that we are all independent contractors – we approach our businesses in differing ways.  On one hand, we have the ability to run our businesses in a way that capitalizes on our strengths.  Some of us use a consistent process to bring a deal together, some of us don’t.  I suggest that many consumers approach the purchase and sale of real estate apprehensively.  Many simply don’t know what the correct process is for purchasing or selling a property and they look to a professional to provide the knowledge and expertise to consistently deliver a successful closing.  Unfortunately, not all agents are created equal, therefore mileage varies – alot.

I believe that the myth to the core of the business of buying and selling property lies within the MLS.  This process is not all about the data.  While the data is key, it certainly does not provide a consistent process for facilitating a transaction – there is a natural progression to a transaction.

Up to this point, if not the most successful, at the least the most recognized RE Web 2.0 search solutions have focused their solutions surrounding the myth of the real estate transaction – it is all about the data.  Again, the data is important, however, it is only part of the process.

My frustration with the current search solutions is that it does not address the natural progression of the real estate transaction.  While extremely powerful, Read more

Orson Scott Card on the Fannie/Freddie melt-down: “Would the last honest reporter please turn on the lights?”

Orson Scott Card is a Hugo-award-winning science fiction author, having written Ender’s Game and Speaker for the Dead among other best-selling works. In the intro to this article from Meridian magazine, he is presented as being a Democrat, but it would be more accurate, I think, to portray him as an anti-idiotarian, the post-9/11 movement of liberal, conservative and libertarian anti-islamist webloggers. Card is an insanely great writer. You can find him at his best at his Hatrack River site. As always, I don’t have any great use for Republicans, but I think this is a fine excoriation of the suicidal negligence of the mainstream media.

These are facts. This financial crisis was completely preventable. The party that blocked any attempt to prevent it was … the Democratic Party. The party that tried to prevent it was … the Republican Party.

Yet when Nancy Pelosi accused the Bush administration and Republican deregulation of causing the crisis, you in the press did not hold her to account for her lie. Instead, you criticized Republicans who took offense at this lie and refused to vote for the bailout!

What? It’s not the liar, but the victims of the lie who are to blame?

Now let’s follow the money … right to the presidential candidate who is the number-two recipient of campaign contributions from Fannie Mae.

And after Freddie Raines, the CEO of Fannie Mae who made $90 million while running it into the ground, was fired for his incompetence, one presidential candidate’s campaign actually consulted him for advice on housing.

If that presidential candidate had been John McCain, you would have called it a major scandal and we would be getting stories in your paper every day about how incompetent and corrupt he was.

But instead, that candidate was Barack Obama, and so you have buried this story, and when the McCain campaign dared to call Raines an "adviser" to the Obama campaign — because that campaign had sought his advice — you actually let Obama’s people get away with accusing McCain of lying, merely because Raines wasn’t listed as an official adviser to the Obama campaign.

You would never tolerate Read more

The GPhone is Here…and Here are My Thoughts

I was pleasantly surprised to come home from the grocery store last night and see a package from T-Mobile w/ my new G1.  My girlfriend wasn’t so pleasantly surprised b/c it meant that I would for the most part ignore her for the evening while playing with my new toy.  Here are my first impressions:

  1. If you’re already a Google fanboy, you’ll love it.  When you fire it up, it prompts you for your google ID, and you’re done.  Your email, calendar, and contacts are all seemlessly integrated with the phone.  You don’t have to lose your @mywebsite.com email address, either.  Using Google Apps, you can allow big G to give you all their services for free, and retain your branding.
  2. The App Marketplace is REALLY thin right now, but there’s not an app on there that costs.  I immediately installed Accuweather (which I had on my BB,) and Plusmo College Football (which was already available for IPhone.)
  3. Coming from the BB, I like the trackball + touchscreen navigation.  Very easy to maneuver websites with a lot of small nav buttons using the trackball, and very quick to navigate easier sites with the touchscreen.
  4. I’m assuming b/c they piggybacked off the 1-800-GOOG-411 technology, the voice dialer actually works REALLY well.
  5. There’s no port for headphones, which is really annoying.
  6. Amazon MP3 is every bit as good as itunes.
  7. So if you rotate the g1 on its side the screen does NOT adapt.  It’s very easy to navigate through w/o using the keypad, so I think this was a pretty silly move.  I’m not sure if they can do a soft upgrade using the compass or something, but I hope they can.
  8. The messaging is not as consolidated as the BB.  I really like getting my sms, mms, and emails all in the same viewer.  There doesn’t appear to be an option for that here.
  9. The browser isn’t quite as nice as the Iphone’s.  The Iphone browser does a good job of autosizing a site to fit the screen – android’s, not so much.  However, it’s still the 2nd best phone browser I’ve used.

So, all in all, I’m happy with the Read more

No layoffs at Trulia: The San Francisco treat is still hiring

CNET:

Real-estate sites had some tough times last week. First, Redfin, an online brokerage for residential real estate, announced that it was laying off 20 percent of its staff, then Zillow, a service that delivers home values and lists sales, announced that it was forced to lay off 25 percent of its workforce.

But Trulia, which lets buyers find homes for sale across the United States, says it has no layoff plans and that it has enjoyed so much growth, it’s actually looking to expand.

“We are not making any layoffs. All companies need to be smart in this environment and adjust to the market movements,” Pete Flint, CEO and co-founder of Trulia, said in an interview. “As a company, we are in a strong position. We always believed that we had to be aggressive but fiscally responsible, and that is why we are in the position we are (in) today. In fact, we are still making a few select hires, where they are important to our revenue growth.”

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Hurry up and wait

Wake up at 11:00AM. Drink a pot of coffee. Smoke a half pack of cigs. Do nothing for the rest of the day. This is my Will.

My Reality, per contra, dictates otherwise. Wake up at 5:55AM to the clanging of the Metra train bells across the street. (I don’t know how but at least 20 people a year find a way to get run over by a commuter train in this city, thus…the clanging bells at every turn and at all hours of the sleep cycle.) One medium cup of half decaf because my doctor is a cruel and unusual man. Smoke nothing because I kicked the actual habit years ago (although mentally, I’m still a two pack a day guy). Do nothing for the rest of the day.

And by doing nothing I mean waiting around in my real estate uniform, ‘tapping my last season’s Pradas’ (Legally Blonde), waiting for all my short sale deals to get final bank approval and inch along to the next stage of amortized gestation. Actually, I only have two of these nightmares recurring right now but they are so big and the characters involved so vivid, it feels like I have ten. Both deals are mid-seven figure offers and either can come unglued with the first hint of a strong Lake Michigan squall. I keep reaching for a smoke but like I said…

I consider the sellers in these scenarios, both developers. I ponder how, not so long ago, they were prospering in the ponzi schemes of their countless construction draws only to find themselves now languishing under a landfill of recycled paper debt, cheering my clients (the buyers) along from beneath, handcuffed and shackled to whatever is left of their decomposing credit ratings. I make a mental note to inform both of my parties that the traditional Builders Warranty probably isn’t worth the bad paper its written on. They will probably both want to lower their offers. Again. He who cares least wins. Hey, ‘leave the gun, take the cannoli.’ (G-father)

I go to bed early as there is nothing left to do but wait. Read more

Tom Johnson to the Realty.bots: All that free stuff you gave us would have been a bargain at twice the price!

In a comment at the Future of Real Estate Marketing, our friend Tom Johnson delivers a fatherly lecture on the facts of life:

This is the free market and unintended consequences at work. There is a reason that the commission rates have been stuck for years where they are. The contingency nature of the listing relationship drives the business. The consumer is unwilling to pay for service that does not result in a sale.

Pouring VC cash into the real estate space has improved technology. The RE.net came on the scene with plans to disintermediate the real estate brokers by tapping into the commission honey pot. This put pressure on commissions forcing brokers to cut costs, so the RE.net responded by giving the services away for free. Free outbound doesn’t earn a return inbound. The cash burn continues, brokers continue to cut costs by not buying RE.net products causing more cash burn and layoffs.

As transactions slow, the commission honeypot shrinks. Brokers will cut cost and redouble efforts to get salable listings, by using the free tools that are provided by RE.net.

It seems to me that the RE.net did indeed disintermediate, but it was not the RE brokers that were disintermediated, but the print media. So here we are, marketing listings for free on the web. Because of the fractured nature of the RE space, it takes unimaginable amounts of time to manage all that free stuff, so we are where we were. The consumer is still unwilling to pay cash for RE services on a non-contingency basis. So, we tweet and blog and facespace our listings, to get a transaction started, and then the real work begins-getting the contract to the closing table. That is the part of this industry that the RE.net sort of forgot about and the cash burn continues…

Indeed. We have seen the future of real estate marketing — and it is us.*

As might be obvious, I don’t have a lot of time for other RE.net sites right now, but it is worthwhile to note that tFoREM has four whole posts this week, a huge number by comparison to recent Read more

This just might be the optimal time to buy a home in Phoenix

This is my column for this week from the Arizona Republic (permanent link).

 
This just might be the optimal time to buy a home in Phoenix

Who should be buying residential real estate in Phoenix right now?

If you have been planning to buy a home sometime soon, and if you know for certain that you won’t need to sell it for at least five years, this just might be your magic moment.

Interest rates are still deliciously low, but both current events and long term trends suggest they’re headed higher. You’ll probably have to sell your current home for less than you wanted to, but you’ll be buying your next home at a bargain-basement price.

Sadly, you may not have enough equity in your home to move up. But if you do, there are some amazing homes out there selling for unheard-of prices. Houses that sold for $375,000 in 2005 are going for $175,000 three years later.

If you do have substantial equity in your home, even at today’s prices, moving up now may make a lot of sense. The rules for the capital gains exclusion on primary homes change on January 1st. If you’ve been in your home for more than the last 24 months but fewer than the last 60 months, moving before the end of the year could save you a significant amount of money on your taxes.

It makes sense to me for college students and their parents to snap up condominiums and starter-homes while prices are so low. After the start of the year, if the student holds title, it will take five years to realize the full benefit of the capital gains exclusion — approximately the length of a college career.

First-time home-buyers are taking advantage of this market, as well, with low-down-payment or even nothing-down government-sponsored loans.

Who else should be buying? Investors, of course, but the smart ones have already figured that out. For now, it’s very easy to acquire a premium home in a commuter-friendly suburb that will be cash-flow positive from the first tenant. Investor loans can be hard to obtain, but prices are so low that many investors Read more

a Blog is a Place to Connect (locally)…part 1

I recently wrote here on this blog about the need to go beyond REALTOR to REALTOR linking and that a blog, properly implemented could be a GREAT way to attract local RELATIONSHIPS and thus links. I also wrote recently on my blog about the fall of the newspapers, the vacuum that was left, and the advantage that affords us to be CITIZEN JOURNALISTS. And I promised to show some examples of what I was talking about.

Fast Forward.

A group of us got together to help each other find ways to do just that. Although there are (currently) only 10 of us in the group, I wanted to share a few of the cool bloggy ways that we are combining the principles above with some neat WordPress tools to generate local connections and go local.

One of the guys in our group is Scott Hack. He is a REALTOR in my office. Oldham County Wired is his attempt at building local relationships by disintermediating the dead tree media with a community blog of his own. Here are some cool things he’s done:

Used Eric Bramlett’s QuizMaster 3000 plugin to generate a University of Louisville fan quiz on his blog. (That got posted on a local sports forum 🙂 )

Had a friend write movie reviews.
(Greg called it right when he said “Vanity thy name is author” and I can find local community members MUCH more willing and talented than the dead tree media can!)

He’s personally connected as he has done stories about local folks. (Think they might USE his services for Real Estate?)

Used his Google Calendar Feed to power a “Community Calendar Page“. Hmmm…how many folks do you think will come to his blog and connect with him because of him asking for dates for THEIR events?

On my token attempt, Southern Indiana Times, I am using a plugin called WP-Classified (just released in bug free enough to post here form) that adds a classified ad section to the “paper”. I will be adding more to that and using it to garner repeat traffic.

These are just a couple of the ways we are Read more

Mark Steyn writes about Joe the Plumber — while it’s still legal

Looking forward to the day when he won’t have to go to Canada to be persecuted for being an insanely great writer, Mark Steyn takes on the Joe the Plumber investigation:

Joe the Plumber expressed his misgivings about the President-in-waiting’s tax inclinations, and the O-Man smoothly reassured him: “It’s not that I want to punish your success,” he told the bloated plutocrat corporate toilet executive. “I just want to make sure that everybody who is behind you, that they’ve got a chance for success too. I think when you spread the wealth around, it’s good for everybody.”

In that sentence about you spreading the wealth around, there’s another typing error: that “you” should read “I, Barack.” “You” will have no say in it. Joe the Plumber might think he himself can spread it around just fine, but everyone knows “trickle-down economics” don’t work. So President-presumptive Obama kindly explained the new exquisitely condescending “talking-down economics:” Put that in your pipe and solder it.

Evidently the O-Mighty One was not happy after his encounter with Joe. He’s still willing to talk to Ahmadinejad without preconditions. But never again will he talk to Joe the Plumber without preconditions. Outraged at the way the right-wing whackos were talking up Joe the Plumber as if he were an authentic regular Joe like Joe Biden, the O-Bots of the media swung into action. Vast regiments of investigate reporters were redeployed from the Wasilla Holiday Inn back to the Lower 48.

“We need you down here checking out this Joe the Plumber,” editors barked to journalists.

“But I’m this close to wrapping up the Wasilla Town Library banned-book investigation!”

“Forget it! The Atlantic Monthly is claiming Joe the Plumber is Trig’s real father. We can’t get behind on this. Get to Minneapolis Airport. Joe the Plumber was seen in the bathroom with Senator Larry Craig.”

“Yes, but he was installing a stopcock…”

“Look, you went to Columbia School of Journalism. This is what we bold courageous journalists do. We’re the conscience of the nation. We speak truth to plumber.”

“Er, shouldn’t that be ‘Speak truth to power’?”

“That’s the old edition of the handbook. Now we speak truth Read more

Greed is Good: How the Rich Get Rich

I think Gordon Gecko was on to something, greed is good. In fact, the combination of greed and fear are even better, or at least they are telltale signs, it seems – for when to enter or exit the market.

Amidst the financial turmoil, Charlie Rose recently interviewed Warren Buffett regarding his thoughts regarding the financial crisis we’re facing as well as to discuss his $3 Billion investment in GE.

A Conversation with Warren Buffet courtesy of Charlie Rose

I happen to like Warren Buffett a great deal. He’s smart yet humble. Sometimes it is difficult to believe that this folksy cornhusker is a billionaire. When Warren pulls the trigger on an investment – and they are generally not small in size – people stand up and take notice. Clearly, you don’t become the wealthiest American by shooting from the hip.

Headlines today indicated that Warren is telling everyone to buy US stocks. Perhaps you’ve heard his quote – I’ll paraphrase:

When people get greedy he gets fearful, when people get fearful, he gets greedy.

I was left with a certain level of confidence despite the current financial and housing crisis – Warren is investing – again, not alittle – but alot. He’s not waiting on the sidelines, he’s investing now. Our stock and housing markets are ripe with opportunity.

Granted we’re all not blessed with billions – but interestingly enough, those who do have the resources should be investing – not in the future – but now. There is and will continue to be turmoil, however, as Warren stated, it is best to be approximately right rather than precisely wrong.

My take and my advice to my investor clients as well as those who are holding out for “the deal of a lifetime”. I think we’re approximately there.

Could prices fall further? Yep, I think they might – but would you rather buy with an approximate risk or some further loss or miss the opportunity all together?

Perhaps this is the most simple example of exactly how the rich get rich. When the majority sit Read more