There’s always something to howl about.

Category: Blogging (page 58 of 84)

The Savvy Investor: Watchouts for New Market Investing

You may have noticed my absence Thursday and Friday, while I was in sunny Greensboro, North Carolina (sunny as oppose to Ithaca, NY). While the trip was a short four days, I met tons of contacts and had a very interesting introduction to the market. There are so many things to talk about, I am going to break them up by topic and try to write them up over the next couple of days. Today, I want to talk about the savvy investor.

I began the journey meeting my agent at the airport. I worked very hard in selecting an agent that I thought would offer me a good look at the market, with an objective opinion on pricing. My goal is to always try to choose an agent, who has experience in the market and is hopefully equally savvy (or more so).

The first problem I encountered right away was a language barrier. I thought cap rates were the universal language, so I assumed that all commercial pricing would be based on local cap rates. Wrong! My agent informed me that the pricing assumptions in Greensboro were based on an assumed appreciation rate of 1-2.5% a year. Interesting… As I stretched my mind to try to understand this concept, I made an assumption that rents would be increasing by at least that or that despite what I saw with my eyes there was a rush on small apartments in Greensboro. Of course, neither was the case.

Interestingly enough, when I made some calculations based on my own models most of the properties I looked at were in the 6.5-7.5% cap range. Although the rates seemed very aggressive for the Greensboro area, every property I looked at fell into this range. My next stop was a commercial mortgage lender. As I sat down in his office, I wondered if everything I had learned in life and in school did not apply in the town of Greensboro or if other investors were just plain crazy. I say this specifically because of all the properties I looked at only one of them was actually Read more

It’s Time To Take The Lead — Let’s Turn The Lights On Now

Growing up I remember the almost genteel civility practiced by my grandparents and their generation. Topics that today would more likely than not incite harsh tones and words, were discussed, even debated without rancor or a mean spirit. I handle myself with their model in mind. Sometimes my calm demeanor based upon rational thought triggers those who aren’t happy without either drama or the spotlight, to turn up the heat.

When this happens ‘in person’ I’m almost always successful in steering the conversation to calmer waters, or to its end. If it’s a phone conversation, I still succeed at that more than not, but less than face to face.

Anonymity in my experience can tell much about a person’s character. I was raised the old fashioned way. In our family you were just as likely to be scolded or given a quick swat on the butt by your aunt as you were your mom. We were taught that the true test of character is what you do when nobody’s watching. Of course with five ministers in the family, we all pretty much believed we were never really unobserved. πŸ™‚ We behaved — even without witnesses. The lesson? Good character isn’t good only when the camera is on.

Which brings us to blogs. I’ll be brief and to the point.

Anonymity breeds false courage in some. They use this ability to become invisible to say things in print they’d never dream of in person. Most of them in real life have been dealt significant disappointments, mostly in real estate apparently. They fancy themselves as Lone Rangers fighting the good fight, fearlessly lobbing grenades at people whose good character allow them to write their thoughts (posts) in a public forum — and sign them with their real names. Their blogs not only identify who they are, but generally have an ‘about’ page which goes into more depth. In other words bloggers as a group, at least in real estate, are pretty transparent. Many even have their pictures on their blog’s home page. Character, pure and simple.

I’ve tried Grandma’s approach. Treat bullies and cowards Read more

Googling for Pizza

We had the extended family over for dinner last night. Being as it was (a Sunday), and being as I am (a real estate agent), this wasn’t a home-cooked foodfest, but Pizza Night. I always dread these gatherings, not because I don’t enjoy the company, but rather because I always suspect the “company” would rather be in pre-op than at my house knee-deep in take-out food and dog hair.

During the course of the evening, one of our cousins who we shall call “Barry” (we shall call him that because that is his name), was explaining how he had Googled me prior to his arrival because he couldn’t remember how to get to our house. Now, keeping in mind that Cousin Barry in a technical graphic designer and has some serious background in all things internet, my initial reaction was along the lines of exactly why he thought the keywords “Kris Berg” would return a link to the Mapquest driving directions to my home. Like much in life, we will just take that one on faith.

It is what Cousin Barry did find on his search for the pepperoni that I found amusing. He said, “I found your Blog”. Before I could fully puff my plumage with pride, he asked, “What’s up with the dog?”. (Insert image of befuddlement followed by getting-a-clue head bob). Ah! He found the Bloodhound Blog.

I consider this a victory of monumental proportions. When I started my own blog last April, I set baby-step goals, the first being to achieve search engine recognition. In the past eight years or so of having a fairly popular (locally), static website, searching for my name produced nothing at all related to me. Curses to those other imitators who share my name! Within a mere eight months, due entirely to blogging, the outcome is much different. Plug my name into Google this morning and four of the seven first page links are to me in some fashion (my blog, my website, the Bloodhound Blog, and Technorati). The other three spots sadly belong to some jazz music writer/arranger by the same name. Go to Read more

BloodhoundBlog week in review . . .

We had quite a week at BloodhoundBlog. If you haven’t had a chance to stay abreast of the trail we’re running, here’s a summary of the week’s most significant weblog entries.

We added three new contributors this week, starting with real estate investor Michael Cook, who brought us The Right Time to Buy: An Investor Perspective, Out of State Investing: All Sizzle, no Steak and A Different View of Diversification.

Our second new arrival, Jeff Turner, is an entrepreneur producing video tour commercials for listing agents. His inaugural post was Lessons Learned While Watching American Idol, followed by a post exploring issues facing Realtors in the age of Realty.bots like Zillow.com: Disintermediation? Not For Me. Not Yet.

Our third new contributor is Norma Newgent, a Realtor working out of Tampa Bay, Florida. Her first post to BloodhoundBlog is Pack Up Your Toys and Go Home.

But don’t get the idea that our tricks are all a matter of new dogs. Every member of the pack did exemplary work this week.

As her reward for having won the Carnival of Real Estate, Kris Berg is honorary Queen of the Pack. With typically regal comical rigor (try saying that out loud), she brings us A New Agent Guide to Getting the Listing… and Getting Over It.

Jeff Brown is completely disgusted with blog carnivals, but that doesn’t stop him from producing first-rate investment advice. This week, he brought forth Your Retirement — A Few Questions, Is There Any Diversifying Alternative To Real Estate Investing? and Ben Stein Says Real Estate Is Easily Inferior To The DOW.

Dan Green presents an object lesson in the destructive consequences of seemingly harmless weblogging practices: Anonymous Posters Can Be A Destructive Influence, or How Communication Is The Difference Between Good PR and Bad PR.

Doug Quance is on a tear: It’s High-Time To Do Away With Referral Fees! Kris Berg weighs in with her own thoughts on the subject from The San Diego Home Blog.

Brian Brady posted another of his excellent interviews, this one with The X Broker, Jeff Corbett. Brian also brought us Mortgage Origination Is A Contact Sport.

Mega-producing Realtor Russell Shaw was interviewed Read more

More weblogs — and a mirror . . .

Today we added about twenty more weblogs to the potentially canonical list of real estate weblogs. Cameron also added code to permit you to mirror this list if you want to, although it’s not as much mirror as I want. I also want an OPML version of the list, along with a form on the page for suggesting missing weblogs, but Cameron gets mad at me when I pay him to do too much work in one day.

(Entre nous, right now he’s a Microsoft-style programmer. He believes it would be easier to engineer people than software. In essence, our plan is to engineer him to a Macintosh level of quality. Inches and hours.)

Anyway, look it over and let me know about any errors, duplications or omissions.

 
Further notice: Cameron has built a true live mirror link (for sites that have PHP available). See the list for details

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Disintermediation where? Oh, yeah . . .

HouseValues.com is laying off 60 employees. Why? Zillow.com.

Year-over-year, mainstream media job cuts are up by 88%. Why? Ahem…

The question I asked was: How much future is there in a job that millions of very smart people are willing to do for free?

But, but, but! Surely the work product of professional journalists is worth more than the random output of pajama-clad amateurs!

Worth more to whom?

An even better question, the first question I posted on BloodhoundBlog: If almost-as-good is free or nearly free, what is the market value of slightly-better?

Here’s an even better question: Taking account of the Russell Shaw podcasts — Parts I, II and III — and reflecting that there will be many more such podcasts, here and elsewhere, how much are you willing to pay for products like those sold by Nightingale Conant…?

Podcast with Russell Shaw, Part Three: A certain convocation of politic Realtors

And this is the third of our podcasts with mega-producing Realtor and BloodhoundBlog contributor Russell Shaw. This segment is a freeform colloquy between Russell, my wife and business partner, Cathleen Collins, and myself. We hit a vast array of topics, including Russell regaling us with a story about how he once confounded 18,000 “stoned hippies.”

The language in this podcast is significantly saltier than the other two, so a word to the wise should be sufficient.

This podcast tends to roam all over the internet, so here are some links you can use to roam with us:

Thanks again to Russell for sharing so much of his thinking and his experience with us. Cathy and I delight in his company, but the man is such a geyser of great ideas that no one can spend time with him and not come away enriched. If I might presume to offer advice to you as a listener, I think you might be profited by revisiting these podcasts again and again. I know we will…

Nota bene: Mike Price of Mike’s Corner taught us an easier way to subscribe to our podcasts, either directly (for faster results) or through the iTunes store.

The Russell Shaw podcasts: Parts I, II and III

Pack Up Your Toys and Go Home

Well, well. My first day to howl and what perfect timing. This morning the Realty Times had an article called “Dog Blog 1.0“. I am the owner of two dogs that frequently order toys and other strange things on the internet, so of course, I read it.

Let me save you some time here and let you know that columnist David Reed is putting us all on notice that the blog is dead. Yep. It seems there are just too many of us. He has lots of numbers to suport this, of course. It seems David was the very first person to ever have a web page waaaayyy back in 1996 or so. Gee, so cutting edge.

It seems that there are 6.5 trillion people on Earth and 6.5 trillion blogs, so we are all lost. However will we find each other, Will Robinson?? David’s words of wisdom are “If someone tells you you need a blog, you are already too late.” We need to go back to actually shaking hands with people. (Eeeuuuwwww)

Well, David, it seems people are making connections all over the place, in spite of you being lost. Perhaps you need an internet GPS so you can make your way back home. Blogging is relaxing, fun, and a valuable source of interaction among like-minded folks. Communities. As a marketing tool, blogging allows for an informal way for an entire generation of people that really don’t want to shake hands, they just want a house. And they want to use someone they feel they can connect with.

Like it or not, David, most people start their home search on-line. Here in sunny Florida, a great deal of my clients are moving here because of the weather, cost of living, etc. On a local level, how can I reach that couple in Michigan with a static web site? If you are lost, don’t blame it on the internet.

But that’s just me.

Once more unto the dog pound: Introducing Norma Newgent

Today we add another fine contributor, Norma Newgent, who works from The Dog That Bit Me:

Norma Newgent is a Realtor who lives and works in Tampa Bay, FL — and has never lived anywhere else. She has a degree in Public Relations, but prefers helping people buy and sell homes.

Norma has a dry wit and a very engaging style. Plus which, she’s a Florida Realtor, where agency laws go to take a vacation. It could be she can teach us what agency will look like everywhere fifteen years from now.

That makes eleven of us, which means we have enough for a football team. Lookout Bears, lookout Colts — the Bloodhounds are taking the field…

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Anonymous Posters Can Be A Destructive Influence, or How Communication Is The Difference Between Good PR and Bad PR

657 MLS Closed Listing Sheet

Sometimes, the difference between good PR and bad PR is communication.

In October 2006, I blogged about a condo building in Chicago that was more than 19 months late on delivery. To me, the story wasn’t that the building was delayed; that happens all the time. What was most interesting to me was that the contracted buyers actually started a blog to share information with each other about their experiences.

Because the developer’s team was not disseminating information as fast as the building’s buyers wanted, a blog looked the perfect choice to disseminate information quickly and efficiently. I can’t think of a better use of a community-like blog that this.

I also found it nice that the blog host including the following text:

Thoughtful comments and respectful opinions on the status of 657 Fulton are welcome. Off-topic, slanderous, disrespectful or abusive posts will be removed at the host’s discretion.

What I didn’t find nice? The host’s not-so-subtle decision to allow anonymous posting.

At the start, the blog behaved quite well, providing a community-like atmosphere for scores of buyers just wanting information about their building. The developer and his team chimed in, too, with updates and notes about permits and progress.

Slowly, though, the tide began to turn. As the delays grew longer, communication from the developer’s team grew more sporadic. Buyers visiting the blog were clamoring for information but all they found was each other.

Before long, with anonymous-like names like “657 Fulton”, “Angry Buyer on the 4th Floor” and “Frustrated on Fulton”, buyers in the building began to voice their anger and unrest. They wrote whatever they wanted and knew that there was no recourse. Who would ever find out the name of the real author? Libel and slander? Why not — it couldn’t be traced anyway? As I think back, even the blog’s host was never publicly named on the site.

The 657 Fulton blog then became a breeding ground for nasty remarks, rumor and conjecture about the developer, and his team. One derogatory remark led to another and led to another and led to another. Sarcasm and mean-spiritedness ruled. And, given the choice Read more

A Different View of Diversification

Greg brought me on with the quote, “I think you would be a good counterpoint to Jeff Brown.” Well, I guess its time for me to start earning my keep. I fall on the opposite side of this diversification issue. The benefits of diversification outside and inside of real estate clearly outweigh the incremental positive returns because of the volatility. Additionally, I feel like Jeff and some readers make a mistake when they reflect on the past to judge whether diversification is a benefit or a negative. Hindsight is always 20/20. The purpose of diversification is to limit risk, while maximizing the return for that risk. To look at any one specific past example is not to look at diversification, but to look at one point along a timeline of investing. Diversified investments over time have proven to be better because of the elimination (or minimization) of specific market/property risk.

Here is a quick example. If you own two apartment buildings in similar areas but different location you have the same risk for each location. However, when considered together the investments are far less risky than one building of their same size. The same principles apply in stock investing. Thinking about the Sharpe Ratio, it is very easy to see why this is the case.

As an investor I have always specialized in one asset class, residential (mostly apartments). Recently, however, in the search for Internal Rate of Return (IRR) and diversification I have considered changing course. With so many investment alternatives in the market, I would like to briefly talk about the positives and negatives of asset class specialization. I want to say in advance that I am certainly not an expert in this subject, so I welcome any comments or rebuttals to any statements made here.

First, I decided to specialize in one asset class because I wanted to build an expertise. While I certainly don’t know all there is to know about buying commercial residential properties, I do know exactly what to look for when evaluating an investment. Additionally, I have a lot of experience dealing with tenants, particularly low income Read more

Podcast: Local results in real estate weblogging will come from making local connections, not SEO results

Cathy and I spent about four hours with the incomparable Russell Shaw last night. We recorded around two hours of our discussions for podcasts I will be putting together in the coming days.

I have been planning for a week to do a podcast on the movement toward local content among real estate websites, but I hadn’t gotten the job done.

Fortuitously, Brian Brady phoned yesterday afternoon, and one of the things we talked about is an idea he has for generating locally-focused content. In the course of talking to him, I addressed almost everything I had wanted to cover, so I’ve chopped out a chunk of our phone call. Brian is very quiet in that section of the call, but it’s okay because I barely let him get a word in anyway.

A signal defect of audio and video, in the weblogged world, is the lack of links, so if you want to click through to the sites and pages discussed as you follow along, these are those:

I haven’t even begun to sort out the recording we made with Russell last night, but I think it might break out into three chapters: I. The Horatio Alger Story, rags to riches. II. Why anyone committed to success in real estate can achieve it. III. A colloquy with Russell on hi- and lo-tech real estate marketing.

In the latter section, we’re going to come back to this same point: There is nothing you can do with passive marketing that will repay your efforts as well as active, person-to-person marketing.
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Lessons Learned While Watching American Idol

Teresa Boardman helped me understand why I sit through all of the excruciatingly bad performances on the first few episodes of American Idol.

My wife and I watch American Idol religiously. It’s one of our guilty pleasures. I know we’re probably going to hell for it, but we’re obviously not alone in our sin. We’ll have some company. The ratings for the Idol are ridiculous. The premiere episode drew 37.4 million viewers last week, a 15.8 rating/36 share in the adults 18-49 demo. The second night was just as big for Fox. But if you’re a saint and don’t watch American Idol, then you have no point of reference for what I’m about to say. So, I’ll explain briefly.

The first episodes feature a laughable string of truly pathetic “performers” trying to make it big in an industry that they are clearly NOT cut out for. Some of the performances are so hideous I literally have to cover my eyes. I want to watch, but it’s just too painful. At one point this evening, my wife said to me, “No! Uncover your eyes. This one is dancing.” OK? No! See, this isn’t “So You Think You Can Dance.”

This is American Idol. It’s a singing competition. If you have to dance, then you probably can’t sing. In fact, if you have to dance, you probably can’t dance either. This is proven over and over again in the first few episodes, before the chosen few “make it to Hollywood.” And one thing is fact – if you have to tell me how great you are… you aren’t.

I don’t watch these first few episodes of American Idol because I like watching people make complete fools of themselves on national television. While I admit there is that morbid fascination, the real joy comes from being able to guess, purely from their self-styled introductions, if a performer is going to be a singer that truly has that special something that distinguishes those who really belong in Hollywood from those who can only tell me that they should be.

Now, here’s where Teresa Boardman comes in. Teresa invited me Read more