There’s always something to howl about.

Category: Marketing (page 180 of 191)

Bedtime links: Lawyer-free real estate, Zillowing Redfin, dancing with the dinosaurs, the map to mash-up excellence and memorable truths about Real Estate 2.0 . . .

Christine gives a nice run-down of seller-only agency as it is practiced in New York State. This is not very far from the way things used to be done in Arizona, except that, because of Article 26 to the state constitution, lawyers are not required to effect the transfer of real property.

Sellsius° whispers a plan for Zillowing Redfin.

Daniel is swinging for the fences, and he plans to look at at least one more pitch. The topic: NAR, MLS, IDX, VOW, DOJ (wasn’t that a song in Hair?). I think this is a classic example where doing nothing would have resolved the whole problem within a few months: NAR implements VOW policy as planned with opt-out provision. Dinosaurs opt-out. Young turks counter-market: “Why are they hiding your listing?” Dinosaurs opt-in. What we’ll get, eventually, will be years late and much worse.

Joel kicks the tires on the Windermere map mash-up: Windermere’s Property Point hits a home run.

We began this day with a thoroughgoing article from The Realty Bloggers about Real Estate 2.0 that happened to say nice things about BloodhoundRealty.com. We’ll end the day the same way, with a rigorous call to arms from Mike Price at Mike’s Corner that also says some nice things about BloodhoundRealty.com. Saying nice things about us is incidental. Saying true things memorably — this is irreplaceable…

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Is Windermere’s the best MLS map mash-up so far . . . ?

Dustin at Rain City Guide is pointing to this new Windermere MLS map mash-up.

“Ho hum,” you say. “Been there. Done that. Gave the tee-shirt to my kid.” Maybe so. My take is that this is the best map-based MLS search that I have seen so far, but I am not confident that I have seen it all.

Things I like:

  • Almost no wasted screen real estate
  • A super-accurate zoom feature
  • Excellent Ajaxification without waiting between every change in settings
  • Details are exhibited in a tabbed section using about 25% of the browser

The sliders at ShackYack.com are very cool, but they’re painful to use because everything refreshes in real time — plus ShackYack wastes huge portions of the screen, as do Trulia.com and PropSmart.com. Are there any other players in this same league?

Windermere has MLS feeds from wherever it has franchisees — 35 systems so far, mainly in the Western United States.

Go play with it. My take: Totally rocks…

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Cute little Trulia pleads, “Can’t we share the hate?!?”

Displeased, perhaps, that outfits like Redfin.com draw all the negative attention, Trulia Blog asks:

Does the MLS continue to believe that fascist dictatorships work?

Inasmuch as an MLS system is a mutually-voluntary membership organization composed of self-selected volunteers, each of whom voluntarily agrees to abide by a set of rules voluntarily established by the membership as a whole, it easy is to understand how Trulia Blog would mistake MLS systems for the second-most murderous branch of Totalitarian Socialism in history. They’re like twins!

An MLS system is a club. Whatever bad things we might think to say about a club, a club is still far more benign than even the most benign of governments. Why? Because you can quit a club, where quitting a government is difficult at best, impossible at worst — and almost always fatal under Totalitarian Socialism. If you haven’t seen a huge pile of bodies stacked up behind the local MLS office — there’s a reason for that.

There are three things you can do about a club you don’t like: 1. You can try to change it from within. 2. You can try to change it from without. 3. You can turn your back on it and up your own organization.

I have had nothing but good things to say about Trulia.com so far, but after this stunt, I have this much to add: Trulia, up yours!

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Could Valley resale home inventories really only be 15% over normal?

Interesting notes from John L. Wake’s Arizona Real Estate Notebook:

Dr. Jay Butler, the head of the Arizona Real Estate Center at ASU, made a presentation yesterday at the Industry Partners Conference, an annual meeting of real estate industry folks – agents, escrow officers, mortgage brokers and many others.

Looking at listings for sale as a percentage of the total number of homes in the Valley (the housing stock), Dr. Butler said the normal number of listings today would be 32,000 to 35,000. I found the actual number this morning to be 41,014 (all home types) in Maricopa county. So, listings are high right now… but not super high.

Given that we have added an enormous number of houses to our inventory over the last three years, I had wondered what our baseline normal should be by now. It will be a couple of years from now before we know if Dr. Butler is right (yes, those words did emerge from my fingers!), but his projection seems to correspond to the observed data: Our surfeit of available homes is not so large as to induce fire-sale pricing.

John has a very rich weblog, including excellent city-by-city graphing of Dr. Butler’s median home price numbers.

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Real estate connections: Deep thoughts, podcasts and dead bugs on the headlights . . .

Jim Cronin at The Real Estate Tomato waxes philosophical, wondering, Is Big Brother Dead? A stray thought to the contrary: Panem et circenses?

The Realty Bloggers have a smart reflection on the slow but on-going ramping up of on-line real estate vendors.

There are two fun developments in our friend Richard Riccelli’s trial-by-FSBO-fire. First, he was approached by John Keith, an enterprising Boston Realtor and weblogger, who, having read about Richard here, offered to help him with a limited-service MLS listing. And second, Richard has a Strange New Respect for the idea of pushing the whole job of marketing a house off onto a professional. It’s not something he could actually do, of course. He’s too much a perfectionist — and the work product he produces for his home should be very instructive. But he understands now why someone else would delegate all that work, happily paying the fee.

Jim Duncan at Real Central VA asks Should buyers forego inspection in a hot market? His answer: “Hell. No.” I agree wall-to-wall, but there is a middle ground here: Inspect, retaining the right to cancel upon inspection, but specify that the home will be purchased with no seller-supplied repairs. In the Arizona Association of Realtors Residential Purchase Contract, we have seller warranties for all the major systems, so the buyer’s exposure is relatively minimal. (The AAR produced an “as-is” addendum that waives these warranties, making it entirely useless.) None of this matters in Arizona right now, where smart sellers repair absolutely everything before they list their homes for sale. But it’s a way of doing an “as-is” transaction without giving up everything.

Three from Sellsius°: The Future of Residential Appraisers links to an article discussing the further encroachment of Automated Valuation Methods on the appraisal industry. If I were building an AVM (ahem), I would hire the best available appraisers to point out the bone-headed mistakes in the software, then keep them working as an on-going Quality Control effort. As it happens, we are refinancing our home right now. I comped it for the lender, then Zillowed it to see how far off-base Zillow.com would be. Read more

New BloodhoundBlog feature: Ask the Broker . . .

A lot of the searches that land on this weblog take the form of general real estate questions. “What is an earnest deposit?” “How long is a typical escrow?” “What is dual agency?” But search engines don’t answer answer questions, they simply shuffle up web pages that have have a high degree of keyword correspondence. Those pages may answer the question — or they may be totally off base.

So: It occurred to me that I could make asking questions easy. If those questions happen to be blogable, so much the better. If you ask a question about a confidential matter, I will answer it privately — and I will keep your name and email address confidential in any case. But if you have a real estate question of general interest, I would be honored to answer it here on the weblog, so we can all kick it around. In the long run, I might build a FAQ out of the questions — a monument more lasting than bronze.

Got a real estate question? Click on the button in the sidebar to the right and ask away. I’ll get to your question as quickly as I can.

Caveats: I am not an attorney, an accountant or a trust, financial or tax adviser, and my body of real estate knowledge is in many ways limited by my real estate experience, all of it in Arizona. But there are a lot of people who visit here who can help me fill in the gaps, and, together, we can pursue a fuller understanding of the art, the science, the business and the passion that is real estate…

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Economist Elliott Pollack’s housing market analysis

Phoenix and Tucson housing market analysis from Elliott Pollack:

The economic fundamentals that have allowed Greater Phoenix to prosper have not changed.

Our long term forecast remains positive.

Note this slide:

That’s ostensibly bad news, since our affordability is down substantially over the last 6 years. But what’s interesting to me is that the cities Phoenix drains population from are all substantially less affordable. That doesn’t mean things will necessarily go well here, but it tends to argue that they will be worse there.

Pollack’s estimate is that we have about two years to absorb excess inventory in greater Phoenix.

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Only in the Valley of the Sun is a home built in the 1950s considered historic . . .

There’s a charming story in today’s Republic about the push to designate a small subdivision of tract homes in Scottsdale as an historic district:

With roomy kitchens and big kid-friendly yards, the homes were built during Scottsdale’s boom. Soldiers were returning home from World War II and Motorola came to town. People needed a place to live.

“Everybody around here worked for Motorola,” said Darlene Petersen, 76, a longtime community activist.

Forty-seven years ago, she and her late husband moved from Davenport, Iowa, into their home on Wilshire Drive near 73rd Street. She was a registered nurse. He was a printer displaced by a strike.

They both found jobs in the boomtown. Darlene spent more than 30 years as an operating room nurse, and her husband got a job as a printer.

The Petersens paid $11,000 for the 1,500-square-foot house that came with concrete floors and no cooler. Still, they were enticed by its Midwest-style front porch and the wide covered patios across the back. And there was the generous backyard, where geraniums and vines flourish under the shade of a very senior mulberry tree.

“People say it is so relaxing back here,” she said.

The name of the neighborhood is “Scottsdale Estates 4.” That by itself tells you that these are production homes, neither historically distinctive nor esthetically distinct. Properly speaking, it’s a neighborhood of tear-downs awaiting a higher and better use.

But the Valley of the Sun is so afraid of being looked down on by older cities that it races around adopting all the silly policies that make those older cities sclerotic and uninhabitable. We won’t be satisfied until more people move out than move in, just like the cities celebrated in all the hip urban planning books.

But, even so, it’s cute and charming and funny that, in order to have “historic districts,” we have to make hallowed museums out of homes that would be considered fairly new anywhere else…

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Republic: Year-over-year median prices down in some areas . . .

Here’s the Republic‘s read on yesterday’s housing numbers, a much more dire interpretation:

Valley home prices dipped again in August, even falling below last year’s levels in some areas.

It is the first time since the Valley’s housing market turned red-hot in late 2004 that the monthly median price of existing homes in some areas is lower than it was the same month the year before, according to the Arizona Real Estate Center at Arizona State University Polytechnic. And if the August median price of $262,500 holds steady or declines this month, the region’s median price will be below the September 2005 price of $263,000.

Jim Rounds, a senior economist with the Scottsdale-based consulting firm Elliott D. Pollack & Cos., said price declines in many parts of metropolitan Phoenix are just beginning and could continue until early 2007.

Also, he said, “new-home price reductions are right around the corner” for the Valley as the housing market’s oversupply issue is corrected.

This much is interesting:

For the first eight months of 2006, there were 47,515 used-home sales Valley-wide, which isn’t close to the 78,935 recorded in 2005.

Last year isn’t a perfect comparison because of the investor-buyer frenzy that has left the housing market with a hangover this year, but home sales this year have also fallen below 2004’s more normal level of 68,020. They are closer to 2003’s pace, when 47,255 used homes changed hands.

The boom in Phoenix real estate started in March 2004 if not earlier, so 2003 is the last normal year for comparison purposes. In other words, the Phoenix market is essentially normal on the buyer’s side.

We have a surfeit of inventory on the seller’s side, but we don’t have is the kind of fire-sale pricing you would expect if most of those sellers were actually motivated to sell — as opposed to being interested in selling if the price is right.

The interesting — and possibly dispositive — question is whether new-home builders actually will cut prices. They’re discounting heavily against list prices for inventory homes right now, but that’s a matter of clearing a finite amount of standing inventory. If pre-built homes are selling Read more

Negotiating buyer representation: “Real estate is probably the only industry that doesn’t respect fully the person who pays . . .”

On the general topic of buyer representation, Jim Duncan at Real Central VA has a post up about being very choosy about which clients he will take on.

Interestingly, Jim provides a link to a specimen copy of a Virgina Asscoation of Realtors Buyer Broker Exclusive Employment Agreement.

I think this is a fine idea. We make copies of all of the commonly-used Arizona buyer contract forms available on our web site. Here is a link to a specimen copy of an Arizona Asscoation of Realtors Buyer Broker Exclusive Employment Agreement.

We are talking about how we might prepare this document differently, but for now we amend it as follows: The compensation listed on line 17 is “$10.00 or any mutually-agreeable sum.” The retainer fee on line 25 is “$0.00.” And at line 48 we add our standard firing clause: “This agreement will be terminated without recourse upon written notice by either party.”

My essay on empowering the buyer to negotiate the fees for their own representation is included in this week’s Carnival of Business at My 1st Million at 33. Frugal accuses me of being unfocused, to which my sole retort is a diffused glare, but adds this:

It really angers me that the sellers and the agents just don’t know who comes up with the loan or cash to pay their bills. Real estate is probably the only industry that doesn’t respect fully the person who pays.

I think that is beyond brilliant…

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Information wants to be free — and browsers just want to shop without being hassled . . .

On 360 Digest Gary Hodges asks Marlo Harris about the wisdom of letting people search from the IDX system on a Realtor’s web site without registering on the site:

Now, knowing that this service probably cost thousands of dollars to provide; shouldn’t there be some way to “enroll” them in this service, with the hopes that the “searcher” will make contact with that agent and/or mortgage broker?

Gary (and anyone else with this point of view), what you can do instead is make your site sticky, and then use that to build loyalty rather than trying to capture it.

Some people have the opinion that people won’t value anything that they get for free, and to a certain extent I agree. But, we’re not selling information. It’s already available for free. We’re building relationships. I think prospects can be frightened off by having to blow their anonymity on your site, just to get something another agent’s site will give them free access to.

As in Marlow’s case, someone who comes to our IDX page to search the full Phoenix/Scottsdale-area MLS system needs to submit an email address only if they want to have listings sent automatically when something new comes up with the features they identified. People can understand that if they want something to be sent to them they need to give us an address to send to. But I expect most people want to browse listings without having that ever-present worry that an agent is going to start bugging them, which of course is a concern anyone has as soon as personal information is requested… make that required.

Instead of quid pro quo — you get to see my information (homes listed on MLS) if I get to see yours (contact information) — we want for you to feel free to freely browse listings from our site. Curl up in your chair, sip a cup of tea, and browse on BloodhoundRealty.com all day… for months if you want. While you’re at it, take a look at other buyer tools BloodhoundRealty.com has to offer. And then browse on over to the BloodhoundBlog to get to Read more

More August housing numbers for the Phoenix area . . .

Dr. Jay Butler of ASU has his August numbers out, and his report is faithfully echoed by The Business Journal of Phoenix. The big news: 2006 is not 2005. Who knew? The real news? August was not great but not awful. You heard it here first, And second. Fifth place will go to the Arizona Republic, probably with a lot more spin…

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Nine 9/11 links . . .

Gaping void:

Douglas Heddings at True Gotham isn’t writing about real estate today, and I understand and respect his reasons. It’s business as usual here today, but also for a 9/11 reason. I didn’t show for 29 days in a row after the attacks. You could say it’s a testament to American fortitude that we able to swallow hard and get on with it in only a month — but at the time it didn’t seem quite that fast.

In that spirit, Jim Duncan discusses the costs and benefits of being a Realtor on call.

I missed this when it appeared last week, but Marlow Harris weighs in on a weighty and serendipitously titled topic: Real Estate Agent Jihad.

It doesn’t do to insist that the sky cannot fall. Five years ago today it did. But The Real Estate Bloggers have a nice take on bubble frenzy: “Will we see the huge housing increases again for a while on a national level, probably not. But will we see wholesale carnage on the horizon? I sincerely doubt it. A deep breath and a little logic will go a long way to understanding the market.” Amen.

On the subject of phlegmatic logic, The Phoenix Real Estate Guy publishes something I’ve been dying to see: A 35-year interest rate chart. I’m going to blow it up and stick on the wall in my office.

Also at The Real Estate Bloggers (blogrolled), a link to a slide-show of the Freedom Towers in New York.

Whether the topic is 9/11, real estate — enbubbled or not — interest rates or something else, today is a good day to try on your blogging shoes. Sellsius° is offering an open mike to people who have something to say but don’t have a weblog of their own.

Wired: 9/11: Birth of the Blog.

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