There’s always something to howl about.

Category: Marketing (page 59 of 191)

Videoplay: My idea of a halfway decent real estate video

I haven’t talked about video for a while because we haven’t been doing very much with it.

That’s not completely true. We use the Flip digital video camera to share notes with clients fairly frequently.

But as I have discussed at length in the past, I have no use whatever for the typical Lurch-takes-a-home-tour style of real estate video. I see it as being anti-marketing, worse than doing nothing at all.

For video to work, there has to be a story, and I can only think of two stories that make sense in the context of listing a home.

The first is simply an interview with the sellers, and we have done this on other homes. The second is the documentary, an illustrated narrative about some aspect of the home or the neighborhood. An example of this would be a slow drive-by of the structures in the neighborhood with a voice-over narrative telling the tale, whatever it is.

Arguably, you could impose a fictional or farcical story on the home, but this strikes me as being simultaneously too familiar and too stoopid by half.

The population of pundits who don’t actually sell real estate is rife with people who swear that video is the wave of the future. But, even with a plausible and endurable story, video has other drawbacks. It can be a real bear to edit, both labor- and computer-intensive. The down-sampling necessary to make it work on web sites robs images of their detail. Moreover, real estate photography wants very wide-angle lenses — which make people look fat and exaggerate foreground-to-background distances.

The solution I’ve arrived it, for now, is to superimpose still images over the video. Talking heads are boring, but we can use stills to illustrate what they are talking about, lending visual interest to the total package.

Here’s an example, as processed through YouTube:

You can see a better example of that video on the video page for 56 West Willetta Street.

The video scene was shot with the Flip camera. The native AVI file was converted to NTSC video, which is native food for Apple’s Final Cut. The photos were just dragged and dropped Read more

Opt-Out of the Recession

I won’t be participating in the recession.  I’ve opted out.

The whole thing started when Chris Johnson slapped everyone for whining.  That was an important message.  Essentially, Chris has been saying, “I know it’s tough and it’s gonna be work but that’s why they call it WORK”.  If you’re a loan originator facing extinction, buy Chris’ Loan Officer Survival Guide, do the homework, and start implementing.  It costs about fifty bucks.

Folks who attended BloodhoundBlog Unchained Phoenix heard me talk about how to hunt for prospects using social media.  I discussed how to “find a herd” through social media and “building a fence around that herd” through the system outlined in the Millionaire Real Estate Agent.  If you’re in “my herd” you’ll recognize my e-mails, radio shows, blog posts, and postcards as the various slats of the fence I’m trying to build around you.

I recognized that transactions per agent were going to drop, about a year ago. I used to count on real estate agents for 3 loan referrals annually.  Today, I budget for one per year.  How then, can I close 100 loans annually with only one loan from each agent?  Increase the agent count, or size of the herd. It’s really that simple if you understand fourth grade math.

My refinance business has all but dried up.  When Hope For Homeowners was announced, I pounced.  While the particulars of the programs are still unclear, I figured that stressed out homeowners would be happy to have SOMEBODY who tried to help them.   These borrowers are a starving crowd.  While I don’t have steak to serve them, a few might get by on the rice I do have to offer them.  Commenters on Zillow’s Mortgages Undressed criticized me for outhustling them but I decided that serving needy homeowners was more important than being popular with a bunch of originators.

Jenna Jameson, actress and entrepreneur, defines courage as never letting anyone define you.  Don’t let the criticism of the competitors you’re crushing ruin your career.

Do you have the courage to change your business?   I suggested that the old saw “listers last” would be usurped by Read more

Citing market downturn, Redfin.com cuts headcount by twenty heads

Via intrepid startup blogger John Cook from his new weblog Where are John and Todd?:

Redfin today said it is cutting 20 percent of its staff as the Seattle online real estate broker prepares for what Chief Executive Glenn Kelman described as a “big dip.”

About 20 employees were let go, bringing total staff at the company to about 75 people.

Kelman said it was a difficult decision, but the right move given how the economic slow down is impacting the residential real estate market.

“Redfin’s whole business will struggle and fight and may yet fail,” Kelman wrote in a message to employees. “But the only way it is possible for us to succeed – and, even today, I believe we will – is if we adapt.”

In an interview, Kelman said that the company had been performing well up until about three weeks ago. Last month, he said executives even felt strong enough about the business to raise revenue projections for next year.

But once the economic meltdown hit Wall Street, Kelman said “deals started to fall apart.” And while October and November may still prove to be solid months at Redfin, Kelman said beyond that the outlook is dismal.

“As the stock market wiped out prospective down-payments, tours and offers dropped 30 percent,” said Kelman in his message to employees. “Transactions that were done came undone.”

More from CEO Glenn Kelman at Redfin’s weblog:

Today Redfin laid off roughly 20% of our employees.

Unlike other startups, our industry’s recession started a year ago, when home prices first plunged.

Since then, we’ve fought like starving animals, and with some success: while industry-wide transaction volumes dropped 33%, we grew revenues by nearly 50%. Traffic grew more than 300%.

Even a month ago, we were raising 2009 revenue projections. All our markets, now including Chicago, contributed profits.

But the past few weeks have seen a major reversal. As the stock market wiped out prospective down-payments, tours and offers dropped 30%. Transactions that were done came undone. October will still be pretty good, then we’re headed for a big dip.

Hence the layoff. Layoffs are painful for any company, but especially for a startup and especially, I Read more

Boringly functional artwork in the service of marketing homes: If people can’t figure out what you’re selling, they won’t buy it

I wrote about the back side of that card last week. It’s the Open House invitation for 56 West Willetta Street in Downtown Phoenix, a home we listed for sale yesterday. This is a full-bore Bloodhound launch, but the card itself is kinda boring, wouldn’t you say?

That’s not an accident. I could wish I were more talented as a graphic designer, but I’m a firm believer that, if something is so cool looking that no one knows what it is, you’ve wasted your money. As radical as our real estate signs are, they still look like real estate signs. And the most profoundly valuable graphic element on our signs was suggested by marketing-provocateur Richard Riccelli: The snipe in the upper left hand corner that says “For sale.” In the uncivil war between obvious and obtuse, obtuse wins all the glamorous awards and obvious wins all the money.

Which brings us to our directionals. I’ve been writing about custom directional signs for more than a year. In that time, we’ve gone through many designs, and we’ve never done the same thing twice. For this house, I think I’ve finally hit on something I like and will use again:

Could not possibly be more obvious, yes?

That “Buy me” call to action is swiped from Redfin.com. Their signs do nothing for me otherwise, but those two words are the essence of good copywriting, in my opinion.

In our own small way, we launch a house in the same we someone else might launch a new car or a new kind of dishwasher or a new magazine. Those business-card-sized Open House cards will be distributed to 6,000 homes. We’ll get a 1% or at most 2% response on that effort — extremely direct mail — but the chances are excellent that the ultimate buyer will be among the parties who come to the first open house.

And: The signs, the directionals, the web site, everything else we do to market our listings — these techniques sell houses. This is not rocket science. Drawing more attention — and more-positive attention — to a house will make it sell faster and Read more

If you have cash or can qualify for a mortgage, this could be the ideal time to grab a bargain-priced home in the Phoenix area

This is my column for this week from the Arizona Republic (permanent link).

 
If you have cash or can qualify for a mortgage, this could be the ideal time to grab a bargain-priced home in the Phoenix area

The Phoenix area is hosting a wave of real estate investors like we haven’t seen since 2005. Unlike the novices who came here during the boom, these are experienced landlords. They’re here now because lender-owned homes are selling for bargain-basement prices.

They’re not alone. Savvy home-buyers are scooping up bargains, too, especially first-time homeowners. Interest rates are still attractive — even if the homes themselves are less appealing.

Interestingly, over the last couple of weeks, many of the lowest priced homes have seemed to evaporate. I’m guessing that October is going to be a banner month for closed transactions. Yes, most of these will be foreclosed homes, but buyers are performing the liquidator function, restoring the value of underperforming assets.

With so many homes selling, are we nearing a bottom in the Phoenix market? It’s plausible, if the number of sales meets or exceeds the number of newly-listed homes to be sold. But, even now, around 7,500 homes a month are entering the foreclosure process.

It could be a long time before that inventory is absorbed. And if it comes onto the market faster than buyers can snap it up, prices will continue to decline.

Visualize the real estate market as a pipeline. The home that gets a foreclosure notice today won’t hit the lender-owned market for three to six months. Are there enough investors and other buyers to snap up record numbers of homes, month-after-month, for the next two years — or longer?

The answer to that question is yes — if the price is right. If the demand for low-priced homes already exceeds the supply in the pipeline, prices will stabilize or even start to rise. If not, lenders will be forced to cut prices until buyers find them impossible to resist.

It’s an awful time if you have lost your home, and it’s not great if you are living in a home you cannot sell profitably. But if you Read more

Will Mortgage Brokers Be the Hope For Homeowners?

The FHA Hope For Homeowners program was designed for existing homeowners, struggling with mortgage payments and an “upside-down” equity position in their primary residence.  It is a new program with lots of misinformation.  Some believe it can only be offered by existing loan servicers, some think only participating lender/servicers can offer the program, and few are certain if the program will be offered through mortgage brokers.

I discussed the key components of the FHA Hope For Homeowners loan program on Mortgages Unzipped.  They are are not limited to but include:

  • An appraisal will be performed and the maximum loan amount will be 90% of that appraised value.  All subordinate liens will be extinguished and the exiting lienholder will have to agree to a loss of principal.
  • The current housing payment must be more than 31% of the homeowner’s gross monthly income.
  • The homeowner must not have misrepresented his/her income on the original loan application.
  • The homeowner must get a new 30-year fixed rate loan and qualify based upon documented income.
  • The homeowner must agree to an declining equity sharing agreement (for the existing equity), with the FHA, for a specified period of time.
  • The homeowner will share in future appreciation with the FHA.
  • The program is completely voluntary; existing lienholders don’t have to participate.

This article isn’t about whether the Hope for Homeowners program is a “good” idea.  I believe that the future of mortgage refinancing lies in the immediate reality that lenders will accept short payoffs for refinance loans in addition to resale transactions.  Robert Kerr made a comment, about a year ago, about the morality of loan modifications and suggested that lenders should “mark-to-the market”and accept lower balances to be commensurate with declined valuations.  That comment inspired my semi-satirical recommendation of short payoffs, cross-collateralized against the net present value of government retirement entitlements. Robert made me think that the moral is the practical.

Will the investors play ball? One lender, acquired at the tail of the sub-prime boom, sold its entire loan portfolio for about 22 cents on the dollar this past summer.  This means that a $300,000, 100% financing home loan, made in 2005, was bought for $75,000.  Read more

It’s a great time to be a Realtor or a lender — if you’re a good one. At BloodhoundBlog Unchained in Orlando, you’ll learn how to dominate your market in the dark days ahead

What came out of last night’s Presidential debate? No matter who wins, we all lose. As painful as it might be to suffer a quick drop in housing values, followed by a recovery, we are in for a much more extended agony. Whether Obama wins in November or McCain, we’re in for an lengthy period of government “help” — mortgage work-outs or price supports or some other crafty means of disguising the true value of homes. This might be good for you if you are headed for foreclosure but haven’t yet crossed the bar, but it promises years of depressed housing prices for everyone else.

That’s bad for homeowners — but good for many landlords. And it’s bad for lenders who have perfected the art of re-financing the same clients again and again — but good for lenders who can generate the flow of new business necessary to live off of primary purchase loans. And a perpetually plateaued real estate market is very bad for by-owners sellers and lazy, stupid, cheap Realtors — but very good for Realtors who can actually get the job done.

An all of this is why you should be coming to BloodhoundBlog Unchained in Orlando. We’re about nothing but practical tactics for taking advantage of the internet to build your business — which is precisely what you need to be doing right now. Real estate has always been a hard way to make an easy living — and it’s about to get a lot harder. The Realtors and lenders who can sustain a pipeline of viable prospects will prosper in the coming years. The rest will get other jobs.

Here’s just a few of the topics we’ll be talking about:

  • Brian Brady will show you how to build a presence on the internet so that your prospective clients will not be able to go anywhere without finding you.
  • Mitch Ribak will talk to you about the techniques he and his team are using to close dozens of transactions a month.
  • Kelly Koehler will share with you her unique pay-per-click strategies, using an array of long-tail keywords to net clients at a very Read more

Following a trail of breadcrumbs from an internet-enabled cell phone

I’ve written about our breadcrumbs philosophy before. Cliff’s Notes: If we build a single property web site for a listing — or a previewing site for buyers featuring dozens of houseswe never delete worthwhile work product from our file server:

We leave the pages and sites on our file server forever. If there were anything confidential in the pages, we would excise it. But there never is — because the web is not secure. So the pages live on forever, each one a detailed chronicle of a particular house at a particular moment in time.

This Sunday just past, a potential buyer was sitting outside 14179 West Shaw Butte Drive in Surprise, AZ. From her phone, she Googled the address. Guess who she found?

I’m not the lister on that house — and it had sold before she called me. But I stand a fair chance of selling her something else, with my client-acquisition cost being pretty close to $0.00.

Leaving breadcrumbs on the trail is not a strategy, not even a tactic. It’s a side-effect. We’re building the content for other purposes. But we sometimes get extra business simply by not killing those pages. This has always been good for us, going back years, but it promises to get better and better. First, we’re always building new pages, which increases our long-tail exposure. And second, there are more and more web-enabled mobile phones out there every day.

There’s more: I think it’s important to “triangulate” on pages like this from a weblog, this so Google finds the new content in a sprightly fashion. I talked about triangulation at Unchained in Phoenix, and I’ll be addressing it again in Orlando. (And if you buttonhole Brian Brady, he might reveal to you what I’m doing in this post as a side-effect of having written it.)

Bur even though this is all just a side-effect of other efforts, we still have a complicated, scientific name for this phenomenon: We call it free money.

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Other types of credit may be feeling the crunch, but home mortgages are still readily available

This is my column for this week from the Arizona Republic (permanent link).

 
Other types of credit may be feeling the crunch, but home mortgages are still readily available

Bad news about the economy is coming in from all directions, so you may be in the mood for some good news: There is plenty of money available for home loans.

By taking over FannieMae and FreddieMac, the federal government has essentially nationalized the secondary mortgage market. The lenders themselves are still private entities, but the government’s loan guarantees are viewed as being so strong that, by now, virtually all residential real estate loans are coming through Fannie, Freddie, the FHA or the VA.

The other way of saying the same thing: There is virtually no secondary mortgage market left for non-conforming or sub-prime loans.

So while you may have trouble getting new car financing or a loan for your business, you should have no problem getting a home loan — if you qualify and if the amount you’re borrowing falls within the limits set by the four government agencies guaranteeing home loans.

And there’s the rub: For most of the Phoenix area, qualifying for a conforming loan should be no problem. But higher-priced homes are sold with non-conforming “jumbo” loans, which are difficult to obtain right now and come at much higher interest rates.

Using an FHA loan, it is still possible to buy a home with “nothing down.” FHA borrowers are obliged to pay a 3.5% down payment, but this can be offset by the $7,500 tax credit incorporated in the mortgage relief bill passed in July. FHA borrowers can ask the seller for up to 6% in closing costs, so they can take possession of the home for no money out of pocket.

But there’s a catch: To obtain an FHA loan, the home will have to pass a rigorous FHA appraisal, which will eliminate many foreclosed homes unless the seller is willing to correct the most serious defects.

All that notwithstanding, while the financial sky might be roiling with dark clouds, real estate is still a silver lining. Because of the government’s loan guarantees, lenders are willing Read more

Making the Riccelli bet to take away the fear of trying something new

Richard Riccelli doesn’t write here very much, but, when he does, it’s pure gold. I’ve been writing in BloodhoundBlog about Richard since the blog was young, as have others, and Richard has been writing with us for as long as we’ve been a group blog. I can’t sing his praises enough. I’m sure I can’t even see nine-tenths of his genius, but I am forevermore enthralled by what I can see.

A peculiar aspect of Richard’s brilliance is his uncanny ability to identify and excise the deal-killing objection. In his own marketing business, his fees can run dauntingly high. Don’t want to pay? No problem. If he loves the project, Richard will work for a cut of the take instead. This is unheard of in direct marketing, and the shear audacity of it can silence every other objection he might hear from his clients. How can you argue with free?

For months now I’ve been playing with Riccelli-style direct marketing ideas at ABetterListing.com. The site’s not done yet. Taking account of testing, it will never be done. But it takes on its first big market test tomorrow.

This is the back of an open house invitation card for a house we’ll be listing next Friday:

Cathleen and her crew of energetic teenagers will be distributing 2,500 of those cards this weekend, with another 2,500 going out next weekend. The whole launch is a Very Big Deal since the house we’re listing falls into the Jumbo Zone — where desire is unlimited and loans are unavailable.

But ABetterListing.com was built for this kind of door-to-door direct marketing promotion, and the promotion itself is built around a Riccelli bet: We’re betting that we’re better than anyone else you’ll talk to, and we’ll pay off on the bet if you don’t agree.

An even better Riccelli bet would be this: “If we don’t get you a contract within 30 days, we’ll sell it for free!” Unfortunately, in the neighborhood we’re working in, homes are selling in 267 days — on average — when they sell at all. We’ll save that offer for a better market.

I’ll talk more about ABetterListing.com another Read more

Zillow.com creates a directory of real estate agents who can’t sell

Okay here’s the good news: You have another opportunity to garner a do-follow link from Zillow.com.

And here’s the bad news: For that link to do you any good, your best bet is to be a really bad listing agent. The more listings you can accumulate on Zillow.com — which implies listings that don’t sell — the higher your ranking among your peers.

Yikes!

Or: Too frolicking stoopid…

Zillow’s Professional Directory is new as of this night, so — who knows? — maybe it will get better. In the neighborhoods we understand, it’s an exceptionally valuable glimpse into the world of lister dysfunction: Who can’t sell how much real estate how slowly? If you want to know for sure who cannot sell the greatest quantity of real properties over the longest spans of time, Zillow.com has the answer.

It gets worse: The “Top Zillow All-Stars” are, for the most part, bubbleheads. Everything is measured by contributions, where what Einstein does and a cat-box deposit are equally “contributions” — equally additions to Zillow.com’s great big cat-box of crap.

This is wicked-dumb, far dumber than the usual agent-rating schemes. Where those other “tools” can be gamed, Zillow’s system is based on measuring, first, a meaningless metric, and, second, by actually rewarding incompetence. Quantity not only is not quality, the number of listings a Realtor is carrying is very often a negative indicator — a symptom not of quality performance but of its absence.

Even acknowledging this, measuring velocity of turnover would not improve things, particularly since this is a metric that could be gamed. And even adding in true — meaning verified — list price to sales price ratios might not be enough. Readers here can correct me if they think I’m wrong, but I don’t think there is any reliable, objective way to rank Realtors by quality of performance.

And that’s as may be. It remains that graduating them by their inability to move product is inarguably a terrible way to rank real estate agents. The Professional Directory is a truly amazingly tone-deaf addition to Zillow.com.

As you might have deduced by my absence from these environs, I am very, very Read more

In a declining market, buying a short sale is too tall an order

This is my column for this week from the Arizona Republic (permanent link).

 
In a declining market, buying a short sale is too tall an order

Is it time to kick the stilts out from under short sales?

Right now in most neighborhoods in the Phoenix area, the houses that will draw the most attention from buyers will be either short sales or lender-owned homes. They’ll be in all states of repair, but the prices will be very aggressive.

And of those homes, the lender-owned homes will actually sell. They may be completely trashed, but the people whose job it is to sell those properties are judged by how quickly they can unload non-performing assets. Make an aggressive offer and you’ll get a aggressive deal.

There are downsides, of course. You can inspect all you want, but don’t expect repairs. Because of this, many lender-owned homes will not qualify for FHA or VA financing. And once escrow closes, you’ll have to restore the home to livable condition.

By contrast, a short-sale home might be in better condition. And it might be even more aggressively priced. The trouble is, the price in the MLS listing will be meaningless. The seller can approve that price, but the seller’s lender has to approve it as well. And the people who approve short sales aren’t judged by how quickly they sell the home but by how much money they bring in.

The lender can take from 60 to 90 days to respond to your offer for a short sale home. And the response may be to counter at a higher price. If you counter back, you may wait another 30 days for a response.

Here’s the worst part about this unwieldy procedure: Home prices are still falling in the Valley. You could wait months to get approval on a contract for a house that is now worth tens of thousands of dollars less than what you offered for it.

My take? We need to cut short sales off at the knees. It seems foolish for Realtors to take them as listings, and beyond foolish to encourage buyers to pursue them. Lender-owned homes are offered Read more

“Buy when there’s blood in the streets”

I wrote $975,000 in new contracts today. No way they’ll all be accepted, but they’re strong offers backed by a lot of cash. If we don’t get these properties, we’ll go for others. Amazingly, the quality of lender-owned properties seems to be going up even as the prices go down. The lord alone knows what will happen in Washington and Manhattan, but it’s a good time — for now, at least — to be a Realtor in Phoenix.

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Federal Bailouts, World Crisis… What About Little Ol’ Me?

Lots of talking heads.  Lots of outrage.  Even a little fear.  Keeping up with economic developments lately is taxing and I mean taxing in its most negative “IRS and April 15th” connotation.  Last night Brian Brady and I were interviewing Matt Padilla for Bloodhound Radio.  It was a great discussion and got me to thinking about what is (or rather should be) important.  I mean, the whole thing can be overwhelming: how did we get here, who’s to blame, what are the macro ramifications of this massive federal bail-out… makes one feel small and even a little lonely in the midst of this big economic world gone ’round the bend.

So I stopped on the way home for a big shot of wheat grass (substitute whatever manly libation you prefer here), calmed down and eventually found myself a little less interested in what it all means and a little more interested in what it all means to the real estate agent on the street.  In other words: What is the next step?

Last week I suggested that Wall Street’s Meltdown may actually help the housing industry.  Consumer debt will dry up in the credit crunch and this bail-out will not have much impact in that arena.  The financial industry is going to come out limping and take some time to lick its wounds.  Consumer debt has always been a risk and will end up on the back burner for a while, but the need for profits is always there; where will it come from?  Where is the supply of money going to be greatest?  Thanks to Uncle Sam it is going to be mortgage money that flows freely.  But flowing freely is not the same as distributed evenly and this is where the real potential lies for homeowners as well as real estate agents.

By the end of the year conforming loan limits are going to drop.  Here in San Diego they should end up around $625,000.  Under that limit there is going to be a large supply of federally backed (and encouraged) cheap money.  Over that limit, however, it is going to be Read more