Real estate enthusiasts have been sounding their trumpet during the latest run in the real estate market. Many real estate focused investors truly believe real estate outperforms every other investment by a wide margin and even go as far as to wonder why investors would choose any other investment vehicle. Our own Jeff Brown even took quite a swing at the stock market in his post, My 4% will Beat Your 10 Any Day — Stocks vs. Real Estate. In the other corner stock market aficionados contend that in the long run stock market returns dominate. As an investor in both I am here to definitively say neither dominates.
Starting with the facts: Long run real estate investment returns average about 3%. This is simply a year over year long run appreciation average (cnn.com report data), while the average long run stock market return hovers around 10%. It is important to note that anyone can point to specific year, or even five year, period that one asset class has outperformed the other. This is not relevant because long term investing is the focus of this discussion.
Many stock market champions simply stop their analysis right there. That is wrong, plain and simple. Of course, as the analysis goes deeper, the water gets muddier and muddier. The starting point is leverage. Very few investors pay 100% of the purchase price when they buy an investment property. At most an investor will put the standard 20% down in a direct commercial real estate investment. This means that an investor could buy 5 times value of an investment. For example, if an investor has $100,000 to invest, they could buy $100,000 worth of stocks or $500,000 worth of real estate. Using some simple math, after 1 year the stocks would be worth $110,000, while the real estate investment would be worth $115,000 ($100,000 + $500,000 x .03).
Unfortunately many real estate investors stop their analysis here. This is also incorrect. Not only is it unfair to compare a leveraged real estate investment to an investment in the stock market that is not leveraged, but there are a Read more
and the (so far, at least) almost total unwillingness of Top Buyer Agents to even listen to this vital message, there may not be much reason to keep saying it. These Top Buyer Agents don’t seem to understand that they are not like most buyer agents. They are quite different. These Top Buyer Agents take their duties to their clients so seriously that they actually DO put the client’s interests above their own. Every time, in every way. These Top Buyer Agents have figured out that the current system of the listing agent paying them, with the seller’s money (of all possible pay plans in the universe) isn’t the most optimum pay plan possible.
Bear with me as I add this up…
