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Seller financing can give you an edge over your competition in the Phoenix real estate market

This is my column for this week from the Arizona Republic (permanent link):

 
Seller financing can give you an edge over your competition in the Phoenix real estate market

If you have significant equity in your home, you have a potent weapon at your disposal on resale.

The big news this year is likely to be more and more stories of people with little or no equity trying to get their homes sold. Values for an average suburban Phoenix home were down 14.66% year-over-year. That doesn’t sound too bad, but prices were down almost six percent just in December. We’re down 24% from the peak in December of 2005, on average.

But here’s the silver lining: If you bought that average home in December of 2003, and if you resisted the impulse to refinance your loan, you’re still up over 40% from your purchase price.

That equity gives you a source of leverage on resale that you might not have considered.

First, as always, for your home to sell it must be priced right, prepared right and presented right to the marketplace. You can’t do any kind of elaborate negotiations if buyers don’t even see your house.

But because you have equity in the home, you have the ability to help a willing buyer navigate the suddenly-more-perilous shoals of the lending process.

Suppose your buyer has five percent for a down payment, but the lender is willing to make a much more attractive deal for ten percent down. If the lender is willing to accept the arrangement, you can offer to carry back a note for the extra five percent, using part of your equity as seller financing.

You’ll be taking a second or third position in the line of creditors, should the buyer default — and it’s always possible that you will lose every cent you are lending. But given the direction of the market, you could be a lot better off risking five percent now, rather than accepting ten percent less a few months from now.

As with everything, read the fine print, ideally in the company of your accountant. But seller financing is one more weapon you can Read more

Buying Countrywide: Why Bank of America is the WRONG Buyer

Countrywide (CFC) has been acquired by Bank of America. This should come as no surprise to Bloodhound readers; we discovered the weakness at CFC last Spring and speculated about the price last Summer. Robert Kerr, Matt Heaton, and Bob Wilson, all Bloodhound readers, tipped me off to conjecture, asked all the right questions, and provided insightful commentary as I chronicled the descent; it was a demonstration of the power of weblogging. The Bloodhound community got this story correct while Wall Street was still starry-eyed about the strength of the “Mozilo franchise”.

Stock picking is not our mission at Bloodhound; industry analysis is. The Countrywide acquisition will be a nightmare for Bank of America (BA) for one simple reason- they really don’t know the mortgage business. BA is a bank, and a damned fine one at that. Their grew their asset base by acquiring regional banks. Bank of America is not and will probably never be a real player in the residential real estate finance arena.

Why? They’re bankers. It’s a cultural thing. Bankers react while brokers (Wall Street) create. Bankers imitate while brokers innovate. Let me give you some examples:

  1. BA lauds it’s Teacher Flex and Neighborhood Advantage programs as innovative thinking. The not so secret reason is that these loan programs were REACTIONS to the NCNB merger; NCNB had a less than enviable lending record in lower-income census tracts. The creation of those loan programs was a direct response to mandates imposed upon BA. BA was dragged, kicking and screaming, into the “homeownership mandate”.
  2. BA botched their sub-prime mortgage product line. They entered a business they didn’t understand and sold it at the worst possible time.
  3. Bank of America alienated over half of the retail origination channel when it cut off mortgage brokers. I think they bought CFC to shore up their weak retail origination business. That will fail, also. The cultural divide between these two companies is huge.

Here’s the dirty little secret for REALTORS; BA is not your friend. Read more

Want to get more done in the world of Social Media Marketing? Repurpose your content!

Like this:

  1. I had sweet fanmail from a would-be man of letters who had found some of my more writerly writing and wanted to tap my mojo. I wrote what I thought was good advice to him — briefly, both because that’s the soul of wit and because I am perpetually short on time. (Note the equation of haste with perpetuity. You can’t learn this stuff in a correspondence course.)
  2. ProBlogger Darren Rowse is hosting a competition to see if people can write good blogging advice in Twitter-length posts. So I cut my writing advice down to 140 characters on the nose and posted an entry.
  3. Yesterday at his Conversation Media and Marketing weblog, Paul Chaney wondered how webloggers produce content that is “Well-written, insightful, practical, providing value to the reader.”
  4. Finally, every day brings news that someone new is following me on Twitter, even though I’ve posted perhaps six times on Twitter since it was introduced at South-by-Southwest almost a year ago.

Ergo, in one fell swoop — for my young fan who would be better off writing than reading, for the ProBlogger hordes, for Paul Chaney and for the Twitterpated — four birds with one stone:

Writers write. You’ll get better by writing, not by doubting yourself. We all miss perfection. It’s the aiming for it that makes us better.

It only looks easy…

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Unchained melodies: Is that all there is?

Lieber and Stoller wrote it, Randy Newman arranged it, Peggy Lee sang it with an affectless perfection. This cover by Bette Midler has its charms, but by trying to backspin the lyrics, she inadvertently shows how much better was Peggy Lee’s understanding of the material.

Tune in Saturday. I’ll show you something cool.

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Zillow.com cultivates its garden with ten million new database records, improved home valuation algorithms and the adoption, with Trulia.com and other Realty.bots, of a RETS-compatible listings standard

First the news on horseback. We’ll come back and gloss it again, but you’re likely to learn more by listening to the podcast linked below with Zillow.com’s David Gibbons.

The news, from Zillow’s press release:

Real estate Web site Zillow.com today announced a major expansion and upgrade to its database of nearly all homes in the country — increasing data coverage from 70 million to 80 million U.S. homes in 48 states, or 88 percent of all homes in the country. Zestimate values are now available on three out of four U.S. homes, or 67 million, up 68 percent from when Zillow launched in 2006. New areas with Zestimates include the states of Alabama, Arkansas, Delaware, Iowa, Idaho, Indiana, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, West Virginia and New Hampshire.  

Zillow today also announced it has dramatically expanded and improved its Zestimate algorithm, incorporating 20 times the number of statistical models than before that factor in more local and home-type variables and now integrate homeowner-edited home facts — such as the number of bedrooms, bathrooms or square footage. More than one million homes have been claimed and updated by their owners to date, contributing to improved Zestimate accuracy on many of these homes. Incorporating these changes along with continued algorithm upgrades have resulted in a 12 percent improvement in Zestimate accuracy nationwide. Many larger metropolitan markets, such as the greater San Francisco, Miami, Los Angeles and Atlanta areas, have some of the most significant accuracy gains at 18 percent, 21 percent, 22 percent and 28 percent respectively.

There’s more. This was leaked earlier this evening by TechCrunch.com:

The other big news is that Zillow is joining Yahoo Real Estate, Trulia, Oodle, Homes.com, Realestate.com, Vast.com and others in adopting a standard way for brokers and multiple listings services (MLSs) to send in their real estate listings in a feed format. That way brokers can use the same data format for all the different real estate search engines and Websites. It is called the Real Estate Transaction Standard (RETS). That should make it easier for brokers to propagate their listings everywhere. [*See clarification from Zillow’s David Gibbons in the comments Read more

Finally – I Have Something To Blog About Zillow

On Hiatus From A Two-Year Zillow Blogging Embargo

I have never blogged about Zillow… or Redfin, for that matter. I’ve always felt that they got more free press than they deserved – not that they don’t deserve some free press, ’cause they do – and as such, there wasn’t anything else I needed to add to the conversation. After all – I only blog if I have something to say.

Well today I have ended my embargo on Zillow… not only because what I am about to reveal is noteworthy – but because to me – it’s local.

Network Communications, Inc (NCI) and Zillow.com have announced today that NCI will join the Zillow Listings Feed program to feed 500,000 of its residential listings to Zillow.com daily.

“NCI is continually looking to expand the opportunity for consumers to interact with our advertiser’s listings when they are shopping for a home,” says Cy Caine, Vice President of Strategy & Business Development, Network Communications, Inc. “As one of the most visited real estate sites on the Web, Zillow.com allows us to offer our advertisers exposure to millions of additional consumers while enhancing the search experience for homebuyers.”

Zillow Listings Feeds allow brokerages and other listing publishers to post for-sale listings directly to the site in a bulk feed, giving the homes a virtual “for sale” sign for free on Zillow.com. For additional exposure, individual agents can create a free profile page with photos, contact info, and more details about the individual agent – linked directly from each listing.

Network Communications is in my backyard. They publish several different real estate books, such as “The Real Estate Book”; “Apartment Finder”; “Mature Living Choices”; “Black’s Guide”; “New Home Gardens”; “Atlanta Homes & Lifestyles”; “Enclave”; “Unique Homes”; “Kansas City Homes”; “Atlanta Home Improvement”; “At Home in Arkansas”; “Relocating to Las Vegas”; “Colorado Homes & Lifestyles”; “St. Louis Homes & Lifestyles”; “Seattle Homes & Lifestyles”; and “Mountain Living”. They also provide their online magazine content through LivingChoices.com.

This is actually good news for agents who advertise in any of these publications, as not only will they have the advertising edge of reaching potential sellers through Read more

It’s weblogging-advice day at Inman Connect, and Seth Godin is wired into the godhead, as usual

Dumbing down:

You’re under pressure to do that with your restaurant and your spiritual advice and your stump speech and your non-profit pitch. There are gatekeepers pushing you to dumb it down for the average.

The thing is, when you dumb stuff down, you know what you get?

Dumb customers.

And (I’m generalizing here) dumb customers don’t spend as much, don’t talk as much, don’t blog as much, don’t vote as much and don’t evangelize as much. In other words, they’re the worst ones to end up with.

I’ll take the smart customers/readers/prospects every time, please.

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The Trulia Publisher Platform and the hypothetical elastic mind

Trulia.com is releasing a new product offering this morning — or at least a new product skin. It is called Trulia Publisher Platform, and what it amounts to is customized branded hosting of Trulia’s real estate content on third-party publishers’ sites.

For example, you can get your Trulia fix under the Village Voice brand, presumably at the web sites of the dozens of formerly-counter-culture newspapers owned by the Phoenix-based corporate behemoth. Even though the real estate content will be Trulia’s, and even though the Truliesque pages will be hosted by Trulia, the on-page branding will give the impression that you are still reading The Village Voice or The Phoenix New Times or whatever.

Okayfine. I myself am so much in love with with power of the long tail in horizontal search that I am, with each passing day, less and less sanguine about vertical search tools. Geeks Google. Proto-geeks search on Craigslist. When the whole world looks like a nail, I’m less than ecstatic about trying to figure out which of the 27 specialized search blades on a Swiss Army Vertical Search Knife works most like a hammer. It turns out none of them do, where the Hammer of Google always delivers.

But: Even so: The expectation seems to be that the webaholic who searches for homes he can’t afford in towns he doesn’t live in on PhoenixNewTimes.com is somehow not the same bleary-eyed gnome who would have quested after houses he won’t buy in places he’s never been on Trulia.com instead. Do you see? Why would anyone presume that spreading the Trulia love around comes to anything other than spreading it thinner?

No one actually does make that presumption, of course. Instead, the math of free content is a math of infinities. No one in America knows any other American who is not already maxed out in every possible respect, but the hypothetical user of our proposed free-content web site is miraculously endowed with infinitely elastic spare time. Lucky bastard. Imaginary people have it so easy!

In the long run, we will surely add new gnomes and gnomettes to the Web 2.0 world. But why Read more

Steve Jobs and the fine art of managing expectations

If the biggest trade show of your corporate calendar debuts one week from today, when, precisely, would you introduce an insanely great new desktop tower and an insanely great new workgroup server?

The video is funny, funnier still because Bill Gates laid an egg at CES, but think what Apple must have in store for us next Tuesday, if they could blow off two killer new products as if they were nothing.

Speculation is rife, of course, but I think we may be in for something no has anticipated.

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Two dozen hounds on the hunt: Galen Ward joins BloodhoundBlog

I started reading Rain City Guide in November of 2005 or so. Our second attempt at a weblog was foundering, floundering, flailing madly and failing badly, and I was out looking for clues. Galen Ward shone like a beacon, his posts incisive and informative, laced throughout with a pungent humor.

I am beyond proud to announce that Galen is joining us today:

Galen Ward is the co-founder of Estately.com, simultaneously the underdog and overachiever of map-based real estate search. He spends his time, reading, writing and coding for real estate from the heart of Seattle.

Galen has a deep understanding of the arcane world of hi-tech real estate start-ups, so he brings us a perspective so-far absent from these pages. We’re honored to have him running with us.

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The Odysseus Medal: “What would David Gibbons do?”

This week’s winners of The Odysseus Medal Competition are all vendors, which is a lucky chance, because I’ve been wanting to talk about vendor involvement in our world, the RE.net.

I’ve written this much before: Why do we trust Michael Wurzer of FBS Systems? Because he’s one of us. He lives in the Web 2.0 world, the Cluetrain world. We believe — on faith, in some respects — that he wants to deliver his product in the same way, with the same commitment to integrity and transparency, that he expects other vendors to deliver their products to him. Why do we have this outsized faith in him? Because we know him — because he’s a part of the conversation.

The same goes for Michael Price of mlbroadcast. We know where he stands on a host of issues, and we know he stands with us on the issues that matter to us. If I have any question about Mike or his business, I know I can shoot him an email and he’ll get right back to me, usually with more information than I thought to ask for.

By contrast, Krista Baker of Realty Business Coach is just getting her toe in the water. Her approach so far has been more a matter of broadcasting information than engaging in the meta-debate.

Another marketing coach taking that same broadcast approach is Gary Elwood of the Real Estate Marketing Blog. A few weeks ago I took him to task in a comment, saying, “You don’t link. You’re inaudible to the conversation.” Gary took me to mean that he wasn’t linking as a matter of footnoting his posts, but what I meant, as I’m sure most people reading this understand, is that linking is how we talk to each other, how the larger conversation is carried out.

Now consider that I beat the snot out of a vendor just last week. I wasn’t being mean, I was just calling bullshit by its true name. Krista and Gary are coming along, but there are a bunch of preening would-be experts who presume to lecture us on this praxis we are perfecting, even Read more

BloodhoundBlog.TV: Dustin Luther, Jeff Turner and Daniel Rothamel on the Inman Connect Conference and the state of real estate video

A four-way video podcast of Greg Swann plus three of the biggest names in real estate weblogging discussing this week’s Inman Connect Conference in New York.

Dustin Luther talks about the presentation he and Brian Brady will be doing on The Long Tail in real estate weblogging.

Jeff Turner and Daniel Rothamel (whose site sports a new magazine-style layout) will be doing a presentation on real estate video, and they talk about some of the challenges and opportunities facing would-be video adepts in the real estate world.

My own audio is too loud, a problem we’ve had before and hope to have corrected sometime soon. My apologies for this defect, but this format — group video podcasting — is an effective way of connecting the islands of certainty in the oceans of information. As an example, where today Joel Burslem waxes rhapsodic about the promise of real estate video, a less sanguine (but much more ethereal) Jeff Turner takes you through some of the very high hurdles that must be leapt to produce effective, interesting video.

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“Cat will mew and dog will have his day…”

But not today. We have a flaky drive on our file server in Texas. At some point tonight, we will be going down to install the replacement. The affected drive hosts 14GB of content, so the restoration process will probably take a little while. My bet is that we’ll lose some comments, too.

The backup process has finished. I am going to have our datacenter move the old drive out and put a new one in so we can have the OS Reloaded, re-initialize the server, and then move your content back to the new drive. I will be updating this ticket at each step so you have an idea of how this is going. If you have any questions or concerns please feel free to update this ticket or call our support line and request to speak to Nate C, I would be happy to explain anything that is going on.

My apologies. We’ll be back soon.

 
We’re back… We seem to be about half-reasonable, but all the major systems are running properly. We lost comments between 1:40pm and 11:50 or so, MST. If you commented in that span of time, you’ll need to repost.

 
Further notice… There are lingering problems. The techs in Texas apparently restored the content of the new hard drive from some old backups – how this could happen while many other files are current I don’t know. But, for example, here at BHB we are running from two small bits of an antique sidebar, with no footer at all. Worse, I am unable to affect the issue by FTP. The weblog part of BHB should be fine, since it runs out of a MySQL server. But we won’t be finished until the sidebar looks normal again.

 
Update… We’re all the way back and all the way normal. If you post a comment yesterday between 1:30 and midnight MST and you don’t see it posted, you’ll need to post again. Otherwise, we’re golden.

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The Odysseus Medal competition — Voting for the People’s Choice Award is open

A total of 15 entries on the short list this week, out of a long list of 55 posts. Vote for the People’s Choice Award here. You can use the voting interface to see each nominated post, so comparison is easy.

Ahem: Please don’t spam all your friends to come and vote for you. First, what we’re interested in is what is popular among people who would have been voting anyway. And second, I’ll eliminate you for cheating. Don’t say you weren’t warned.

Voting runs through to 12 Noon MST Monday. I’ll announce the winners of this week’s awards soon thereafter.

Here is this week’s short-list of Odysseus Medal nominees:

< ?PHP $AltEntries = array ( "Brian Brady -- Todd Kaufman The Todd Kaufman Problem Is Your Problem, Too”,
“Dan Green — Mortgage economics
High Unemployment Rates Are Good For A Lot Of People“,
“Dan Green — Political Calamity How Real Estate Markets Respond To Political Calamity Around The World“,
“Dustin Luther — Zillow RE Auction I may have found the Tellar in Zillow’s Cellar!“,
“Jay Thompson — Bureaucrats Gone Wild Todd Kaufman, Loudoun County Assessor — Starring in \”Bureaucrats Gone Wild\”“,
“Jay Thompson — Free the MLS! Free the MLS! Another Board Forbids the Use of the Term \”MLS\”“,
“Jay Thompson — Keyword Stuffing Keyword Jammed Posts are Polluting the \”RE.net\”“,
“Jay Thompson — RSS Feeds RSS Feeds – The Full vs. Partial Conundrum“,
“Kris Berg — Alphabet Soup Alphabet Soup“,
“Krista Baker — 5 Steps 5 Steps for Planning any Marketing Campaign“,
“Michael Wurzer — Open Letter Open Letter To Yahoo!, Google, Trulia, and Zillow, Encouraging Data Standards“,
“Mike Price — Armchair Quarterbacking Armchair Quarterbacking Real Estate 2.0“,
“Morgan Brown — 2008 Musings 2008 Musings – It’s going to suck a little less, depending who you are.“,
“Russell Shaw — Todd Kaufman Can Loudoun County Assessor Todd Kaufman tell me what to say and not to say?“,
“Troy W. Garris — Dodd Exits Presidential Race Dodd Exits Presidential Race; Focus Turns to Lenders“,
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    Deadline for next week’s competition is Sunday at 12 Noon MST. You can nominate your own weblog entry or any post you admire here.

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  • To “concerned citizen,” who may or may not be a sock-puppet for Loudoun County Tax Assessor Todd Kaufman: The Bill of Rights exists to protect citizens from government, not the other way around

    This is an extended response to “concerned citizen,” who commented at length on my Loudoun County Tax Assessor Todd Kaufman has a friend post. The nom de poltroon “concerned citizen” may or may not be a sock puppet for Todd Kaufman himself, but it sure reads that way to me.

    Does not Mr. Kaufman have the First Amendment right to complain to the Realtor board? And does not the Realtor board have the duty to investigate whether there are false facts published?

    Don’t be absurd. You’re attempting to reframe the debate to portray Kaufman as the victim. What we have is a case of abuse of office, a government functionary attempting to abrogate the free speech rights of an innocent citizen. The Bill of Rights exists to protect citizens from government.

    The price for Mr. Kaufman exercising his rights, even if misguided, should not be ridicule

    To the contrary, this is the exact and perfect price, firmly established in the history of satire in America.

    and exposure of personal information.

    Straw Man Fallacy. Did not happen, at least not in anything posted on the RE.net.

    It comes across not so much as openness as exposure for further personal attack by others by way of letters to his home, phone calls and the like.

    Straw Man Fallacy again. We have done nothing of the sort. This may in fact be the Well-Poisoning Fallacy.

    It also distracts from the issue, which is, I think, whether any false information was published to consumers.

    The issue is Mr. Kaufman’s ham-handed attempt at censorship. Period. He made a bone-headed mistake, and he is paying the exact and perfect price for doing so. If you are his friend, you could help him find his way back to the light.

    Arguments pro and con in this matter should be couched in terms of truth or falsity of the blogger’s work,

    False. The right to free speech includes the right to be wrong. Your instant quibble will be to resort to libel or slander, but those are civil torts, to be adjudicated in a court of law. Absent proof of damage or malice, people in the United States are free to Read more