Over the last half century or so the S & P has averaged, give or take, about 8% growth annually. Pretty impressive. A lot of folks are very impressed, especially those who’ve invested into vehicles tied to the S & P index. They did better than ok this year, don’t you think? Twice the average for the last half century ain’t bad by anyone’s calculations. As a matter of fact let’s say the S & P annual growth rate for the five year period) averaged 10% annually, which is still 25% better than the average since Eisenhower was president. For those already retired and receiving income from investment grade insurance vehicles, many of which are tied directly to that index, 2006 has been a banner year. If you’re wondering why the grandkids made out like bandits at Christmas this year, that could very well be the answer.
For the same period of time let’s have two investors, one in the S & P, the other in real estate. They both have a hundred grand to invest. The real estate guy is at a little disadvantage though because he’ll need to hold some of his cash back as reserves. The S & P investor can afford to put his entire hundred grand into his investment.
So the real estate guy finds three duplexes for $200k apiece. (Remember, even though it’s San Diego, it’s 2001.) He puts 10% down on each one. His total investment including closing costs was about $75k. He put the remaining $25k in the bank as a cash reserve account. The duplexes all provided about $100 monthly positive cash flow, though our investor was just hoping they’d at least break even.
Note: My office structured transactions like this a few times a month back then, month in and month out.
Even though the real estate appreciation rate was three times what we’re assigning to the S & P for these five years, we’re going to limit it for this example to 10% a year for the real estate also. This results in a value of roughly $254k half way through Read more

Brian Brady is a San Diego-based mortgage broker. Working with his wife, Debra, Brian deploys six years of experience on Wall Street to make sure the loans he underwrites fit his clients’ overall financial plans.
