{"id":17953,"date":"2021-03-10T16:49:48","date_gmt":"2021-03-10T23:49:48","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/?p=17953"},"modified":"2021-03-10T16:49:48","modified_gmt":"2021-03-10T23:49:48","slug":"young-people-are-moving-to-red-states","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/17953\/young-people-are-moving-to-red-states\/","title":{"rendered":"Young People Are Moving To Red States"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Greg nailed it today (and before)&#8211; people are leaving America&#8217;s cities and <a href=\"http:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/17951\/overnight-news-just-as-with-the-rigged-election-the-people-most-hurt-by-the-ongoing-ant-exodus-will-have-black-and-brown-skin\/\">it ain&#8217;t cuz of COVID<\/a>.\u00a0 Studies like <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pewresearch.org\/fact-tank\/2021\/02\/04\/as-the-pandemic-persisted-financial-pressures-became-a-bigger-factor-in-why-americans-decided-to-move\/\">this one<\/a> go out of their way to explain that New York and San Francisco are &#8220;Safe&#8221; and attribute the exodus to financial reasons.\u00a0 But if you read <a href=\"https:\/\/www.clevelandfed.org\/en\/newsroom-and-events\/publications\/cfed-district-data-briefs\/cfddb-20210205-did-the-covid-19-pandemic-cause-an-urban-exodus.aspx\">THIS study<\/a>, by the Cleveland Fed, you&#8217;ll see that Greg is right:<\/p>\n<p><em>Initially, the urban exodus stories reported that people were afraid of contracting the novel coronavirus in elevators and subways. Then the narratives suggested remote work had freed office workers from long commutes, allowing them to relocate. With both remote workers and students at home full time, a desire for home offices purportedly rose, and low interest rates made buying a larger suburban home attractive. Urban amenities such as restaurants and theaters were shuttered. Later, the protests sparked by the killing of George Floyd and others were cited for motivating some urban residents to leave. Most major cities experienced increases in violent crime during 2020, and crime rates have historically predicted migration changes.<sup><a class=\"nodedown\" href=\"https:\/\/www.clevelandfed.org\/en\/newsroom-and-events\/publications\/cfed-district-data-briefs\/cfddb-20210205-did-the-covid-19-pandemic-cause-an-urban-exodus.aspx#D2\" name=\"U2\">2<\/a><\/sup>\u00a0The proposed and enacted cuts to police funding were also cited as a reason to leave by some people who feared that crime would increase further.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>The Wuhan virus didn&#8217;t directly cause the urban exodus, it was the political responses to it.\u00a0 When big city mayors defund police departments, refuse to deploy the police to shut down riots, and decriminalize property crime and drug use, people won&#8217;t move there.\u00a0 IN both studies, they cited that it wasn&#8217;t so much that a lot of people are moving OUT, it was that new people weren&#8217;t moving IN.\u00a0 Thus, net migration from blue states is high and net migration to red states is up.<\/p>\n<p>Take a look at the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northamerican.com\/migration-map\">net migration map from North American Van Lines<\/a>.\u00a0 It has a very cool slider which allows you to watch the net migration for the last ten years.\u00a0 The colors are inverted, probably so that North American Van Lines doesn&#8217;t get hammered by the woke folks, but in each year since 2010, net migration is flowing from states <a href=\"https:\/\/www.atr.org\/map?amp\">governed by Democrats to states governed by Republicans<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>In 2020, 4 of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/17953\/young-people-are-moving-to-red-states\/#more-17953\" class=\"more-link\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Greg nailed it today (and before)&#8211; people are leaving America&#8217;s cities and it ain&#8217;t cuz of COVID.\u00a0 Studies like this one go out of their way to explain that New York and San Francisco are &#8220;Safe&#8221; and attribute the exodus to financial reasons.\u00a0 But if you read THIS study, by the Cleveland Fed, you&#8217;ll see [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_crdt_document":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-17953","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"hentry","6":"category-real-estate","8":"no-featured-image"},"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":17003,"url":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/17003\/a-note-to-our-rental-home-investors-influx-just-lacks-majesty-but-its-the-upside-of-an-exodus\/","url_meta":{"origin":17953,"position":0},"title":"A note to our rental-home investors: Influx just lacks majesty, but it\u2019s the upside of an exodus.","author":"Greg Swann","date":"September 13, 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"Me today to our buy-and-hold rental property investors: It's not well-reported, except in the form of secondary evidence like U-Haul rates and MLS listings and closings, but very-vertical cities are emptying themselves to the benefit of very-horizontal communities. Congratulate yourself again for investing in Phoenix, the world's largest suburb. At\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Flourishing&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Flourishing","link":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/category\/flourishing\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/erda-estremera-sxNt9g77PE0-unsplash-480x319.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":17951,"url":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/17951\/overnight-news-just-as-with-the-rigged-election-the-people-most-hurt-by-the-ongoing-ant-exodus-will-have-black-and-brown-skin\/","url_meta":{"origin":17953,"position":1},"title":"Overnight News: Just as with the rigged election, the people most hurt by the ongoing Ant-exodus will have black and brown\u00a0skin.","author":"Greg Swann","date":"March 10, 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"Every \"news\" story about the ongoing Ant-exodus roiling America's real estate markets attributes the phenomenon to the Coronavirus. This is a lie, of course, as I have been pointing out for months. People who can are racing away from riots, rioters and urban chaos in general. Folks on the receiving\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Group Therapy&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Group Therapy","link":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/category\/group-therapy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Ya think it's easy?","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/08\/BHBNewTopImage-300x225.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":17606,"url":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/17606\/overnight-news-and-all-they-will-call-you-will-be-diasporatees\/","url_meta":{"origin":17953,"position":2},"title":"Overnight News: \u2018And all they will call you will be&#8230; diasporatees&#8230;\u2019","author":"Greg Swann","date":"December 16, 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"In the rectangle described by the SR-303 and SR-202 freeways \u2013 in other words, all of Metropolitan Phoenix, the entire Valley of the Ever-Fecund Sun, from BFE to shimmering BFE \u2013 how many single-family-detached homes are Actively for sale for $200,000 or less? Zero. Call it an exodus or a\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Group Therapy&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Group Therapy","link":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/category\/group-therapy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Ya think it's easy?","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/08\/BHBNewTopImage-300x225.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":16972,"url":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/16972\/overnight-news-lets-roll\/","url_meta":{"origin":17953,"position":3},"title":"Overnight News: \u201cLet\u2019s roll.\u201d","author":"Greg Swann","date":"September 11, 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"HousingWire: The upside of the urban exodus: Zillow: Nearly 2 million renters can become homeowners, thanks to telecommuting. Forbes: WeWork Bets On Outdoor Spaces For The COVID Era. Forbes: Six Ways Agents And Brokers Can Evolve To Build Better Brokerages. CNBC: Mortgage lenders just saw record profit, and expect to\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Real Estate&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Real Estate","link":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/category\/real-estate\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/08\/BHBNewTopImage-300x225.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":18004,"url":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/18004\/overnight-news-playing-with-dogs-and-plotting-my-future-in-the-land-of-cannibal-racists\/","url_meta":{"origin":17953,"position":4},"title":"Overnight News: Playing with dogs and plotting my future in the land of cannibal\u00a0racists.","author":"Greg Swann","date":"March 27, 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"I had a plan for this year, but the world got in the way. I was sure Trump would win and the all-go-no-quit Trump economy would rage on. At the same time, I did not anticipate the NAR opting to take up the race war against its own membership. So\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Group Therapy&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Group Therapy","link":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/category\/group-therapy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Ya think it's easy?","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/08\/BHBNewTopImage-300x225.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":18235,"url":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/18235\/overnight-news-is-misanthropy-at-the-bleeding-heart-of-modernitys-anti-meat-mania\/","url_meta":{"origin":17953,"position":5},"title":"Overnight News: Is misanthropy at the bleeding heart of modernity\u2019s anti-meat\u00a0mania?","author":"Greg Swann","date":"June 15, 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"Someone once told me that people savor meat because they like the taste of fear. I don't know if that was supposed to put me off my feed, but it didn't. I'm perfectly willing to credit the proposition, accepting it as a fortuitous genetic adaptation: We relish the food we\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Group Therapy&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Group Therapy","link":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/category\/group-therapy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Ya think it's easy?","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/08\/BHBNewTopImage-300x225.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17953","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/15"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=17953"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17953\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":17954,"href":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17953\/revisions\/17954"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=17953"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=17953"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=17953"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}