{"id":1849,"date":"2007-08-24T08:21:28","date_gmt":"2007-08-24T15:21:28","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/?p=1849"},"modified":"2007-08-24T08:21:28","modified_gmt":"2007-08-24T15:21:28","slug":"a-buyers-market-you-bet-but-even-more-than-that-its-a-listing-agents-market","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/1849\/a-buyers-market-you-bet-but-even-more-than-that-its-a-listing-agents-market\/","title":{"rendered":"A buyer’s market? You bet, but even more than that, it’s a listing agent’s market"},"content":{"rendered":"

This is me in the Arizona Republic<\/i> (permanent link<\/a>):<\/p>\n

 
A buyer’s market? You bet, but even more than that, it’s a listing agent’s market<\/b><\/p>\n

As I write this, there are 55,706 homes listed for sale in the Arizona Regional Multiple Listings Service. Some are anomalous listings, but those would account for far fewer than one percent of the total. Allowing for every possible quibble, there are a lot of homes for sale — double what there should be.<\/p>\n

In July, 4,730 ARMLS-listed homes were sold. Funds changed hands, escrow closed, sellers moved out, buyers moved in — sold.<\/p>\n

That’s not a very healthy number of buyers. Five years ago, in July of 2002, 6,113 homes were sold. This is before the market went crazy, so it’s a reasonable number for comparison.<\/p>\n

So we have about 75% as many buyers as we should have pursuing 200% of the normal quantity of inventory. That’s an 11.78 month supply of homes. Another way of saying the same thing: Every buyer in the market right now could have twelve or more candidate homes to choose from.<\/p>\n

Not all locations are the same. Some buyers might have two or fewer homes to work with. For example, historic or architect-built homes are always in short supply. If you want to live in a high-demand area, you may have no homes to choose from. On the other hand, in very low-demand subdivisions, buyers may have 30 or more appropriate houses available to them.<\/p>\n

Is this a buyer’s market? Oh, you bet! But even more than that, I see it as a listing agent’s market.<\/p>\n

Why? Because for every home listed in the next 30 days, only a very few are going to sell within 30 days of being listed. For every home that comes off the market, at least one will replace it in the MLS. The ones that don’t sell immediately could be out there for a long while.<\/p>\n

Which homes will sell? Those that are perfectly marketed in every possible respect: Priced right, prepared right, presented right. During the boom, anyone could sell a house. Now — and for the foreseeable future — only the Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

This is me in the Arizona Republic (permanent link):  A buyer’s market? You bet, but even more than that, it’s a listing agent’s market As I write this, there are 55,706 homes listed for sale in the Arizona Regional Multiple Listings Service. Some are anomalous listings, but those would account for far fewer than one […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_crdt_document":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[6,5],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-1849","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"hentry","6":"category-marketing","7":"category-real-estate","9":"no-featured-image"},"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":236,"url":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/236\/how-to-exterminate-a-cowbird-a-comedy-in-three-acts\/","url_meta":{"origin":1849,"position":0},"title":"How to exterminate a cowbird — a comedy in three acts . . .","author":"Greg Swann","date":"August 23, 2006","format":false,"excerpt":"Act I -- Why Realtors hate discount listings... People think ordinary on-the-ground Realtors hate discount listings because of the discount. That's may be true of many real estate brokers, but real-life Realtors have two much better reasons to hate discount listings. First, the Buyer's Agent will have to do all\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Disintermediation"","block_context":{"text":"Disintermediation","link":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/category\/disintermediation\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":613,"url":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/613\/a-horrifying-thought-experiment-elaborating-on-a-brokerage-business-model-that-could-completely-disintermediate-buyers-agents\/","url_meta":{"origin":1849,"position":1},"title":"A horrifying thought experiment: Elaborating on a brokerage business model that could completely disintermediate buyer’s agents . . .","author":"Greg Swann","date":"November 7, 2006","format":false,"excerpt":"I wrote this this morning, and it's been bugging me all day:Here's a thought: The $99 divorce. It only works where the split is unclouded by children or property. But imagine a $999 FSBO package: The usual MLS-only marketing package with a buy-back guarantee for the buyer. Quoting me: \"From\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Disintermediation"","block_context":{"text":"Disintermediation","link":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/category\/disintermediation\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":2202,"url":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/2202\/a-consumers-guide-to-the-divorced-real-estate-commission-cataloging-benefits-starting-with-a-complete-catalog-of-available-homes\/","url_meta":{"origin":1849,"position":2},"title":"A consumer’s guide to the divorced real estate commission: Cataloging benefits — starting with a complete catalog of available homes","author":"Greg Swann","date":"November 10, 2007","format":false,"excerpt":"Part IV: Divorcing the real estate commissions will result in benefits not just for buyers but also for their agents and for the real estate market as a whole The National Association of Realtors is embroiled right now in a protracted anti-trust suit brought by the United States Department of\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Marketing"","block_context":{"text":"Marketing","link":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/category\/marketing\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":296,"url":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/296\/securing-the-home-buyers-place-at-the-table-how-two-simple-reforms-can-finally-result-in-a-full-uncompromised-form-of-buyer-representation\/","url_meta":{"origin":1849,"position":3},"title":"Securing the home-buyer’s place at the table: How two simple reforms can finally result in a full, uncompromised form of buyer representation . . .","author":"Greg Swann","date":"September 6, 2006","format":false,"excerpt":"Executive summary: This is long, and it's written (I hope!) for ordinary people, not real estate professionals. But I want for real estate professionals to be aware of this argument, because I think it solves several of the knottier problems affecting our industry. Here's a quick summary of the essay:Buyers\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Enduring Interest"","block_context":{"text":"Enduring Interest","link":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/category\/enduring-interest\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":1444,"url":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/1444\/by-withholding-the-secrets-of-the-mystical-mls-system-are-we-betraying-the-home-buyers-interests\/","url_meta":{"origin":1849,"position":4},"title":"By withholding the secrets of the mystical MLS system are we betraying the home-buyer’s interests?","author":"Greg Swann","date":"May 18, 2007","format":false,"excerpt":"In all my spare time, I've been working over the past few days on a real estate porn movie. The film features pictures from hundreds of homes, with loads of juicy details. We took the photos over the course of years, so it's entirely possible that some of those homes\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Enduring Interest"","block_context":{"text":"Enduring Interest","link":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/category\/enduring-interest\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":576,"url":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/576\/learning-to-negotiate-the-buyers-agents-commission\/","url_meta":{"origin":1849,"position":5},"title":"Learning to negotiate the buyer’s agent’s commission . . .","author":"Greg Swann","date":"October 27, 2006","format":false,"excerpt":"From my column in today's Arizona Republic, a familiar theme. 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