{"id":2300,"date":"2007-12-02T00:14:01","date_gmt":"2007-12-02T07:14:01","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/?p=2300"},"modified":"2007-12-02T00:14:01","modified_gmt":"2007-12-02T07:14:01","slug":"lenders-lend-are-you-a-believer-yet-altered-circumstances-changes-behavior","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/2300\/lenders-lend-are-you-a-believer-yet-altered-circumstances-changes-behavior\/","title":{"rendered":"Lenders Lend &#8212; Are You a Believer Yet? &#8212; Altered Circumstances Changes Behavior"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> What constitutes real knowledge? By real, I mean <em>knowledge that is truth<\/em>, not <em>logically provable<\/em> by means of <em>rational<\/em> debate. <\/p>\n<p>If that sounds ambiguous, let me focus the picture a bit. <\/p>\n<p>After the 1927 real estate collapse, the infant Federal Reserve Board decided the best course of action was two-fold in nature. Constrict the money supply, and raise interest rates. <\/p>\n<p>They arrived at that strategy, one which in hindsight would seem to have <em>caused<\/em> (or at least exacerbated), instead of avoided the Depression, by means of rational debate, logically put forward. We can assume they thought it was clearly the right thing to do. Put plainly &#8212; they weren&#8217;t <em>trying<\/em> to cause the Depression.<\/p>\n<p>They were tragically incorrect. Their logic was akin to <em>&#8216;proving&#8217;<\/em> the world is flat, which was rationally believed &#8212; and logically, God forbid, scientifically proved &#8212; for centuries. <\/p>\n<p>How might history have been altered, had the Feds flooded the banking system with cash while simultaneously slashing interest rates? Again, logic tells us they&#8217;d have more likely than not, avoided the Depression.<\/p>\n<p>In reality though &#8212; we don&#8217;t, <em>rather we can&#8217;t know that<\/em>. We can convince ourselves by virtue of the last 80+ years of experience since then &#8212; but in the end, we just don&#8217;t know for sure. <\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/online.wsj.com\/article\/SB119638615868608863.html\">The Wall Street Journal is now reporting<\/a> the Treasury Department is in the late stages of negotiations with major lenders to avert next year&#8217;s tsunami of interest rate adjustments on over 2 million sub-prime loans. <\/p>\n<p>I&#8217;ve been telling anyone who&#8217;d listen, for over a year now, lenders were simply not gonna foreclose on hundreds of thousands of homes. The thought itself is ludicrous. The Wall Street gang(sters), better known as either Bears, or one-way @$%^&amp;#&#8217;s, are gonna be beside themselves when this is announced. So many of them are invested in bad news &#8212; in the most literal sense. They need the economy to tank, at least a little. They&#8217;ve shorted everything but their four martini lunches. \ud83d\ude42 For many of them, good economic news is now bad. <\/p>\n<p>Many other Wall Streeters will be elated by this news. The Bulls <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/2300\/lenders-lend-are-you-a-believer-yet-altered-circumstances-changes-behavior\/#more-2300\" class=\"more-link\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>What constitutes real knowledge? By real, I mean knowledge that is truth, not logically provable by means of rational debate. If that sounds ambiguous, let me focus the picture a bit. After the 1927 real estate collapse, the infant Federal Reserve Board decided the best course of action was two-fold in nature. Constrict the money [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_crdt_document":"","_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[26,5],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-2300","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"hentry","6":"category-lending","7":"category-real-estate","9":"no-featured-image"},"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":1509,"url":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/1509\/the-style-of-your-soul-the-fundamental-virtue-of-conscientious-real-estate-weblogging\/","url_meta":{"origin":2300,"position":0},"title":"The style of your soul: The fundamental virtue of conscientious real estate weblogging","author":"Greg Swann","date":"June 6, 2007","format":false,"excerpt":"\"If a writer wrote merely for his time, I would have to break my pen and throw it away.\" --Victor HugoThe Russell Shaw entry What's wrong with Zip Realty?, written in February, was the most clicked-upon post on BloodhoundBlog on Tuesday. Debunking Zillow.com, which was written last July and which\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Blogging&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Blogging","link":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/category\/blogging\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":2345,"url":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/2345\/unchained-melodies-unchained-impulses\/","url_meta":{"origin":2300,"position":1},"title":"Unchained melodies: Unchained impulses","author":"Greg Swann","date":"December 8, 2007","format":false,"excerpt":"This one is from Brad Coy, who wanted to tip his hat to pseudonymous commenter Joe Strummer with a Joe Strummer cover of Bob Marley's Redemption Song. If I have a favorite Clash tune it's This is Radio Clash, simply because I like the idea of a pirate satellite. As\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Blogging&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Blogging","link":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/category\/blogging\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":2181,"url":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/2181\/a-consumers-guide-to-the-divorced-real-estate-commission-will-the-negotiating-their-buyers-agents-compensation-make-buyers-more-practical\/","url_meta":{"origin":2300,"position":2},"title":"A consumer&#8217;s guide to the divorced real estate commission: Will the necessity of negotiating their buyer&#8217;s agent&#8217;s compensation make buyers more practical?","author":"Greg Swann","date":"November 8, 2007","format":false,"excerpt":"Part II: How buyers can finally take a seat at the grown-up's table When a potential home-seller calls me to set up a listing appointment, very often the first question I will hear is, \"How much do you charge?\" A motivated seller is done with the house, and now all\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Marketing&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Marketing","link":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/category\/marketing\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":2511,"url":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/2511\/real-estate-weblogging-101-wringing-actual-commerce-out-of-your-commercial-weblog\/","url_meta":{"origin":2300,"position":3},"title":"Real Estate Weblogging 101: Wringing actual commerce out of your commercial weblog","author":"Greg Swann","date":"January 18, 2008","format":false,"excerpt":"I'm engaged in a debate with Dustin Luther at his place, but the issues are important enough that I want to highlight some of my remarks here. The meta-issue: Is linking back and forth among real estate weblogs an effective marketing strategy for a consumer-focused, client-seeking real estate weblog, or\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Blogging&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Blogging","link":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/category\/blogging\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":1948,"url":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/1948\/no-committee-will-ever-make-the-cluetrain-run-on-time\/","url_meta":{"origin":2300,"position":4},"title":"No committee will ever make the Cluetrain run on time","author":"Greg Swann","date":"September 18, 2007","format":false,"excerpt":"Proposition 1: Groups, clubs, committees and professional associations would make better decisions if their smarter, more passionate members were to get involved. Proposition 2: Central banking would work if only Alan Greenspan had a smarter brother. Proposition 3: True Communism has never been tried.I don't consider these statements equivalent, but\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Egoism in Action&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Egoism in Action","link":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/category\/egoism-in-action\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":542,"url":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/542\/when-real-estate-brokers-face-a-substantial-cost-for-head-count-only-the-most-profitable-heads-will-survive-unsevered\/","url_meta":{"origin":2300,"position":5},"title":"When real estate brokers face a substantial cost for head-count, only the most profitable heads will survive unsevered . . .","author":"Greg Swann","date":"October 15, 2006","format":false,"excerpt":"Mark Nadel\u2019s white paper on real estate commissions is very thoroughgoing, rich in detail and a rational understanding of human motivation -- without slipping over to the hyperbole that afflicts much criticism of the residential real estate industry. But Nadel is an outsider, so, while his diagnosis of what ails\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Disintermediation&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Disintermediation","link":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/category\/disintermediation\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2300","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2300"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2300\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2300"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2300"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2300"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}