Here’s how bad it gets when the mortgage-backed securities market deteriorates:<\/p>\n
From May 21<\/a>:<\/p>\n This is a chart for the last 30 days for mortgage-backed securities.\u00a0 When MBS prices go up, mortgage rates come down.\u00a0 In this case, I noticed a meteoric rise in MBS prices in the last week in April (off a low of 99.5).\u00a0 I called for clients to lock on May 2, 2008<\/a>, when the 30 year fixed rate mortgage was at 5.875%.\u00a0 Today, it has improved to 5.625%.<\/em><\/p>\n Today, mortgage rates are over a half a point higher<\/a> (in rate) :<\/p>\n This is panic selling<\/a> that we’re seeing in the fixed-income securities market.\u00a0 I knew it would happen but I was early.<\/a>\u00a0 The 30-year fixed rate mortgage was at 5.625%<\/a>, nine days ago.\u00a0 Yesterday, it went to 6.0%.\u00a0 Today a 30 -year fixed rate mortgage is at 6.25%.\u00a0 Expect rates to be above 6.0% for the next two weeks; we should see them creep down by the end of June to the sub-6 level.<\/em><\/p>\n Don’t fret- they’ll be back.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Here’s how bad it gets when the mortgage-backed securities market deteriorates: From May 21: This is a chart for the last 30 days for mortgage-backed securities.\u00a0 When MBS prices go up, mortgage rates come down.\u00a0 In this case, I noticed a meteoric rise in MBS prices in the last week in April (off a low […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_crdt_document":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[26],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-3188","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"hentry","6":"category-lending","8":"no-featured-image"},"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":2796,"url":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/2796\/will-the-fed-buy-mortgage-backed-securities-in-the-open-market\/","url_meta":{"origin":3188,"position":0},"title":"Will the Fed Buy Mortgage Backed Securities In the Open Market?","author":"Brian Brady","date":"March 18, 2008","format":false,"excerpt":"I never post my Mortgage Rates Reports here.\u00a0 They're boring unless you are thinking about buying a home or refinancing your mortgage.\u00a0 Today, it seems plausible that the Fed is shifting its open market activities from buying treasuries, to buying mortgage-backed securities, in order to bolster liquidity in the mortgage\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Lending"","block_context":{"text":"Lending","link":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/category\/lending\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":2663,"url":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/2663\/once-more-with-feeling-mortgage-rates-are-determined-by-mortgage-bonds-mbs-not-the-ten-year-t-note\/","url_meta":{"origin":3188,"position":1},"title":"Once More With Feeling- Mortgage Rates Are Determined by Mortgage Bonds (MBS), Not The Ten Year T-Note","author":"Brian Brady","date":"February 26, 2008","format":false,"excerpt":"Mortgage rates are volatile today...very volatile.\u00a0 There are two underlying factors contributing to the volatility: suspicion of the credit quality of the MBS market and supply\/demand imbalance (more people want money than is offered). Why am I so adamant about the fact that the ten-year treasury note is not the\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Lending"","block_context":{"text":"Lending","link":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/category\/lending\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":14866,"url":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/14866\/could-mortgage-rates-drop-after-a-treasuries-credit-ratings-downgrade\/","url_meta":{"origin":3188,"position":2},"title":"Could Mortgage Rates DROP after a Treasuries’ credit ratings downgrade?","author":"Brian Brady","date":"July 29, 2011","format":false,"excerpt":"The dictated debt limit deadline looms and a credit rating downgrade, to US Treasury securities and agency mortgage-backed securities, seems likely.\u00a0 Naturally, a spike in treasury yields is expected and a subsequent rise in mortgage rates should follow. \u00a0 That's right out of the senior year textbook, in most American\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Big Mother"","block_context":{"text":"Big Mother","link":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/category\/big-mother\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":8627,"url":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/8627\/lower-june-2009-mortgage-rates-rely-on-central-bank-action\/","url_meta":{"origin":3188,"position":3},"title":"Lower June, 2009 Mortgage Rates Rely On Central Bank Action","author":"Brian Brady","date":"May 28, 2009","format":false,"excerpt":"May Day in the mortgage rates market is over.\u00a0 The market got spooked by triangulated opinions about the viability of the US Treasury as a going concern.\u00a0 In response, mortgage traders sold off mortgage-backed securities, some 3-4%, in 4 days, to drive mortgage rates from 4.75%\u00a0 to the 5.375% current\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Lending"","block_context":{"text":"Lending","link":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/category\/lending\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":1147,"url":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/1147\/bad-loans-buried-in-the-back-of-the-breadbox\/","url_meta":{"origin":3188,"position":4},"title":"BAD LOANS: Buried In The Back Of The BreadBox","author":"Brian Brady","date":"March 14, 2007","format":false,"excerpt":"Let me tell you a story about how the subprime mortgage market collapsed and millions of baby boomers had to accept less money in retirement. If you liked the Da Vinci Code, you're gonna love this one. It's not wrapped up in sex, or murder, or corruption, just good-old fashioned\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Enduring Interest"","block_context":{"text":"Enduring Interest","link":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/category\/enduring-interest\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":4455,"url":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/4455\/leveraged-loser-loans-lead-to-loss-of-liquidity\/","url_meta":{"origin":3188,"position":5},"title":"Leveraged Loser Loans Lead To Loss of Liquidity","author":"Brian Brady","date":"September 15, 2008","format":false,"excerpt":"I'm kicking this one up to the top, in honor of today's events.\u00a0 It's a historical look about the early MBS markets.\u00a0 Now before you jump me for my incorrect conclusion, I didn't realize that the hedge funds leveraged their loan holdings 10 to 1 (or more).\u00a0 That \"38 bucks\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Lending"","block_context":{"text":"Lending","link":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/category\/lending\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3188","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/15"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3188"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3188\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3188"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3188"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3188"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}