{"id":5,"date":"2005-11-11T11:40:00","date_gmt":"2005-11-11T18:40:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/?p=5"},"modified":"2005-11-11T11:40:00","modified_gmt":"2005-11-11T18:40:00","slug":"sky-falls-as-predicted-none-injured","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/5\/sky-falls-as-predicted-none-injured\/","title":{"rendered":"Sky falls as predicted, none injured"},"content":{"rendered":"

<\/p>\n

As has been persistently predicted for more than 18 months, the sky has at last fallen in the Phoenix real estate market. This per the Arizona Republic<\/a>. The median price for residential housing actually went down by one percentage point in October, the first time this has happened since December of 2003.<\/p>\n

Obviously our market is a lot softer than it was six months ago, but this is not quite the calamity so long foretold. Recall, until very recently every other mountebank was seething about a bubble that was doomed to burst at any instant. Instead, we’ve had a slow progression back to a relatively normal market, with nary a whimper of hardship to be heard.<\/p>\n

This is me, in the first of my real estate columns published by the Republic:<\/p>\n

When newsmakers make pronouncements about the real-estate market, they are conflating everything with everything else: north Scottsdale with south Phoenix, the stately custom homes of Litchfield Park with the ramshackle trailers of Ellsworth Road in east Mesa. The total supply of available homes is up from where it was a few months ago, but not by much. Among the homes that are most avidly sought and most assiduously marketed, demand is still very high – and price pressure is still very strong.<\/p>\n

Real estate is non-fungible. That’s the fancy way of saying that no one home can be substituted for another. So, to say that homes in greater Phoenix appreciated by 47 percent from July 1, 2004, to June 30, 2005, is interesting, but it is not hugely revealing. It conflates too many unlike homes and neighborhoods to be valuable.<\/p>\n

It’s much more useful to note that the 1,603-square-foot Terracina floor plan in Ashton Ranch in Surprise appreciated by 67 percent in that same span of time. The 1,313-square-foot Vail floor plan in Rancho Santa Fe in Avondale was up 56 percent. The 1,273-square-foot Sterling model in Fletcher Heights in Peoria gained 56 percent in value.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Surely there is a net depreciation in values happening somewhere, but it’s important to understand where. At the fringes the softness is pronounced–the very low and very high ends, along Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

As has been persistently predicted for more than 18 months, the sky has at last fallen in the Phoenix real estate market. This per the Arizona Republic. The median price for residential housing actually went down by one percentage point in October, the first time this has happened since December of 2003. Obviously our market […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_crdt_document":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-5","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"hentry","6":"category-general","8":"no-featured-image"},"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":100,"url":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/100\/the-sky-is-always-falling-except-when-it-isnt\/","url_meta":{"origin":5,"position":0},"title":"The sky is always falling — except when it isn’t…","author":"Greg Swann","date":"July 18, 2006","format":false,"excerpt":"Foreclosures are up in Arizona for the first six months of 2006, as compared with the last six months of 2005. The will be cause for sustained gloating at the Arizona Republic, so here is the real news, from the Business Journal of Phoenix, before it goes through the Spin\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Real Estate"","block_context":{"text":"Real Estate","link":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/category\/real-estate\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":238,"url":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/238\/i-think-theyre-trying-to-turn-this-into-a-little-new-york-city\/","url_meta":{"origin":5,"position":1},"title":"Phoenix rising: “I think they’re trying to turn this into a little New York City . . . “","author":"Greg Swann","date":"August 24, 2006","format":false,"excerpt":"That's a debatable point, but Angela Cara Pancrazio of the Arizona Republic has a sweet feature in today's paper on how cranes are remaking the skyline of Phoenix:Phoenix is rising again. And the cranes have arrived, reaching into a city and stretching its torso upward. With the exception of the\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Real Estate"","block_context":{"text":"Real Estate","link":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/category\/real-estate\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":26,"url":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/26\/cloud-mining-the-news\/","url_meta":{"origin":5,"position":2},"title":"Cloud-mining the news…","author":"Odysseus","date":"December 13, 2005","format":false,"excerpt":"The Business Journal of Phoenix is first with the news of November's overall appreciation numbers:[T]he median home price is back on the rise. After a decline in October to $259,900, the price returned to the record level of $263,000 set in September.The Business Journal is a boring old just-the-facts kind\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "General"","block_context":{"text":"General","link":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/category\/general\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":4418,"url":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/4418\/fannie-and-freddie-fall-to-foreclosure-but-still-lenders-lend\/","url_meta":{"origin":5,"position":3},"title":"Fannie and Freddie fall to foreclosure, but, still, lenders lend","author":"Greg Swann","date":"September 14, 2008","format":false,"excerpt":"This is my column for this week from the Arizona Republic (permanent link). \u00a0Fannie and Freddie fall to foreclosure, but, still, lenders lend I write this column at the beginning of the week, and it appears at the end of the week. My topics are usually timeless, but, if I\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Lending"","block_context":{"text":"Lending","link":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/category\/lending\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":324,"url":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/324\/republic-year-over-year-median-prices-down-in-some-areas\/","url_meta":{"origin":5,"position":4},"title":"Republic: Year-over-year median prices down in some areas . . .","author":"Greg Swann","date":"September 12, 2006","format":false,"excerpt":"Here's the Republic's read on yesterday's housing numbers, a much more dire interpretation:Valley home prices dipped again in August, even falling below last year's levels in some areas. It is the first time since the Valley's housing market turned red-hot in late 2004 that the monthly median price of existing\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Marketing"","block_context":{"text":"Marketing","link":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/category\/marketing\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":4812,"url":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/4812\/other-types-of-credit-may-be-feeling-the-crunch-but-home-mortgages-are-still-readily-available\/","url_meta":{"origin":5,"position":5},"title":"Other types of credit may be feeling the crunch, but home mortgages are still readily available","author":"Greg Swann","date":"October 4, 2008","format":false,"excerpt":"This is my column for this week from the Arizona Republic (permanent link). \u00a0Other types of credit may be feeling the crunch, but home mortgages are still readily available Bad news about the economy is coming in from all directions, so you may be in the mood for some good\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Lending"","block_context":{"text":"Lending","link":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/category\/lending\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}