{"id":5419,"date":"2008-11-04T01:55:26","date_gmt":"2008-11-04T08:55:26","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/?p=5419"},"modified":"2008-11-04T01:56:34","modified_gmt":"2008-11-04T08:56:34","slug":"ill-show-you-my-electoral-college-map-if-youll-show-me-yours","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/5419\/ill-show-you-my-electoral-college-map-if-youll-show-me-yours\/","title":{"rendered":"I’ll show you my electoral-college map if you’ll show me yours…"},"content":{"rendered":"

I made this map last week, and I might change it a little if I were redoing it tonight. I’m not for<\/em> McCain (although I am decidedly against<\/em> Obama), but here I am simply illustrating in red those states I would be very surprised to see McCain lose tomorrow. If I were to redo the map tonight, I might throw Missouri, Iowa, Minnesota and Wisconsin to McCain, along with New Hampshire and half of Maine. Anyway, here is my thinking as of last week:<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

I could be wildly, wildly wrong, and you’re free to express the belief that I am — without flames, please — provided you’re willing to eat crow should it turn out, in the end, that I am wildly, wildly right. Bear in mind that all I had to do was keep this map secret to avoid the possibility of eating crow myself.<\/p>\n

But: You can play this game, too. If you go to RealClearPolitics.com, you can create your own electoral-college map<\/a> so you can show the rest of us how you think the election is going to play out. Email your map to yourself and then paste the link to your map in a comment to this post.<\/p>\n

Why, you may ask, am I representing such a strong win for McCain when you have been told for weeks and months that Obama will win in a landslide? It’s because I don’t believe what I’ve been told. It may turn out that everything you’re hearing is true. For now, at least, I’m inclined to think otherwise.<\/p>\n

If you’re interested, here is a stunning contrarian analysis of this election from Sean Malstrom:<\/a><\/p>\n

The Undecideds *have* decided: they have decided not to declare their choice to pollsters.<\/p>\n

The polls are way, way off this election cycle. Pollsters have admitted that this election has the highest ‘refusal to respond’ number. The ‘undecideds’ are people who don’t want to declare their choice. Why would they do that? If you belong to a Union, and they tell you to vote for Obama or ‘else’, you will not answer a pollster for it could be a union boss checking up Read more<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

I made this map last week, and I might change it a little if I were redoing it tonight. I’m not for McCain (although I am decidedly against Obama), but here I am simply illustrating in red those states I would be very surprised to see McCain lose tomorrow. If I were to redo the […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_crdt_document":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[251,13,24,29],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-5419","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"hentry","6":"category-big-mother","7":"category-casual-friday","8":"category-egoism-in-action","9":"category-group-therapy","11":"no-featured-image"},"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":5429,"url":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/5429\/mccain-concedes-as-do-i\/","url_meta":{"origin":5419,"position":0},"title":"McCain concedes, as do I…","author":"Greg Swann","date":"November 4, 2008","format":false,"excerpt":"Clearly I was wrong about the number of states John McCain would take. I cannot but hope that I am also wrong about Barrack Obama's intentions for this republic. Congratulations to Obama and to his supporters.","rel":"","context":"In "Group Therapy"","block_context":{"text":"Group Therapy","link":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/category\/group-therapy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":10233,"url":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/10233\/looking-for-peace-and-prosperity-nothing-gets-good-things-done-like-a-do-nothing-federal-government\/","url_meta":{"origin":5419,"position":1},"title":"Looking for peace and prosperity? Nothing gets good things done like a do-nothing federal government","author":"Greg Swann","date":"November 7, 2009","format":false,"excerpt":"This from my Arizona Republic real estate column: The elections this past Tuesday were not a referendum on President Barrack Obama or his plans and policies. How do we know that? Because everyone associated with the Obama administration loudly insists that this cannot be so. They ought to know, right?\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Big Mother"","block_context":{"text":"Big Mother","link":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/category\/big-mother\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":2773,"url":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/2773\/announcing-my-obama-rodham-mccain-universal-bumper-sticker\/","url_meta":{"origin":5419,"position":2},"title":"Announcing my Obama Rodham McCain universal bumper sticker","author":"Greg Swann","date":"March 15, 2008","format":false,"excerpt":"I could make Barack Obama jokes all day. Like this: \"Bill Clinton might have been the America's first black president, but Barack Obama is the nation's first black Kennedy.\" From this you should not surmise that I am for John McCain. I find all three of our current maladies to\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Casual Friday"","block_context":{"text":"Casual Friday","link":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/category\/casual-friday\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":2571,"url":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/2571\/avoiding-mccain-in-traffic-that-is\/","url_meta":{"origin":5419,"position":3},"title":"Avoiding McCain — in traffic, that is","author":"Greg Swann","date":"February 6, 2008","format":false,"excerpt":"We live in the last affordable ghetto in North Central Phoenix, a little pocket of reasonably-priced homes surrounded on three sides by unreasonably-priced homes. John and Cindy (nee Hensley) McCain used to live about a mile and a half south of us, in the Hensley family compound on Central Avenue.\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Marketing"","block_context":{"text":"Marketing","link":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/category\/marketing\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":4850,"url":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/4850\/mccain-promises-housing-price-supports\/","url_meta":{"origin":5419,"position":4},"title":"McCain promises housing price supports…","author":"Greg Swann","date":"October 7, 2008","format":false,"excerpt":"\"We've got to buy up these bad loans.\" His plan is to renegotiate mortgages at the present value of the homes. It's socialist versus socialist. Nice...","rel":"","context":"In "Lending"","block_context":{"text":"Lending","link":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/category\/lending\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":5122,"url":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/5122\/orson-scott-card-on-the-fanniefreddie-melt-down-would-the-last-honest-reporter-please-turn-on-the-lights\/","url_meta":{"origin":5419,"position":5},"title":"Orson Scott Card on the Fannie\/Freddie melt-down: “Would the last honest reporter please turn on the lights?”","author":"Greg Swann","date":"October 21, 2008","format":false,"excerpt":"Orson Scott Card is a Hugo-award-winning science fiction author, having written Ender's Game and Speaker for the Dead among other best-selling works. In the intro to this article from Meridian magazine, he is presented as being a Democrat, but it would be more accurate, I think, to portray him as\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Marketing"","block_context":{"text":"Marketing","link":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/category\/marketing\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5419","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5419"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5419\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5422,"href":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5419\/revisions\/5422"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5419"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5419"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5419"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}