{"id":868,"date":"2007-01-08T02:25:45","date_gmt":"2007-01-08T09:25:45","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/?p=868"},"modified":"2007-01-08T02:26:46","modified_gmt":"2007-01-08T09:26:46","slug":"was-businessweek-bamboozled-twist-doesnt-know-what-she-doesnt-know","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/868\/was-businessweek-bamboozled-twist-doesnt-know-what-she-doesnt-know\/","title":{"rendered":"Was BusinessWeek bamboozled? “Twist” doesn’t know what she doesn’t know . . ."},"content":{"rendered":"

This is a copy of email I just sent to Peter Coy of BusinessWeek with respect to false claims made last week about deception in the Arizona Regional Multiple Listings Service<\/a>. Cliff’s Notes: False alarm resulting from “crackpot claims, the end product of a fervid imagination and a Rube Goldberg spreadsheet.”<\/p>\n

From: GregSwann@BloodhoundRealty.com
\nSubject: Problem solved — “Twist” doesn’t know what she doesn’t know
\nDate: January 8, 2007 2:13:57 AM MST
\nTo: Peter_Coy, Twist
\nCc: Jay, Jonathan, John<\/p>\n

The mystery unraveled<\/a>.<\/p>\n

1. Ms. Averett does not have access to the ARMLS system.<\/p>\n

2. Her analysis is based on summary reports issued by the ARMLS staff, presumably for PR purposes.<\/p>\n

3. Those reports omit many categories of residential listings, presumably to make the summary fit on a single page.<\/p>\n

4. The three columns of Ms Averett’s analysis that buttress her claim — New Listings, Delisted, and Ratio Sales\/Delisted are not obtained from these summary reports. There may be some other source, but they’re not in the ARMLS reports — at least not in those I looked at.<\/p>\n

5. As has been demonstrated by four Phoenix-area Realtors working independently but directly in the ARMLS system, Ms. Averett’s contentions about the months of November and December of 2005 and January of 2006 are not only false, they bear no resemblance to reality at all. I have also demonstrated that her contentions with respect to the same months one year earlier are also false.<\/p>\n

6. Given that the methodology she deploys is dubious at best, and probably completely devoid of meaning, it seems reasonable to surmise that all of the rest of her claims with respect to ARMLS are also false. This is not to imply that the ARMLS system is fault-free, but simply that the fault Ms. Averett claims to have identified does not exist. She does not understand the ARMLS system well enough to make any sort of informed statement about it.<\/p>\n

7. The other weblogging Phoenix-area Realtors copied above may have more to add as they peruse Ms. Averett’s work product. John L. Wake surmised from the beginning that Ms. Averett was working from ARMLS-issued summaries rather than directly from the database.<\/p>\n

8. My Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

This is a copy of email I just sent to Peter Coy of BusinessWeek with respect to false claims made last week about deception in the Arizona Regional Multiple Listings Service. Cliff’s Notes: False alarm resulting from “crackpot claims, the end product of a fervid imagination and a Rube Goldberg spreadsheet.” From: GregSwann@BloodhoundRealty.com Subject: Problem […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_crdt_document":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3,6,5],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-868","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"hentry","6":"category-blogging","7":"category-marketing","8":"category-real-estate","10":"no-featured-image"},"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":853,"url":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/853\/twisted-minds-was-businessweek-bamboozled-by-bubble-blogstress\/","url_meta":{"origin":868,"position":0},"title":"Twisted minds: Was BusinessWeek bamboozled by bubble-blogstress?","author":"Greg Swann","date":"January 4, 2007","format":false,"excerpt":"Was a big-time Sixth Avenue media giant flim-flammed by a Gilbert, AZ, housewife, nom de guerre \"Twist,\" who has set herself up as an authority on the residential real estate market and its feverishly-sought collapse? From BusinessWeek Online's Hot Property:In Phoenix, the numbers seem to go kerflooey every December. In\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Blogging"","block_context":{"text":"Blogging","link":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/category\/blogging\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":2707,"url":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/2707\/no-more-web-sites-in-the-remarks-section-armls-drops-the-hammer-on-the-one-little-bit-of-the-21st-century-it-was-getting-right\/","url_meta":{"origin":868,"position":1},"title":"No more web sites in the remarks section? ARMLS drops the hammer on the one little bit of the 21st century it was getting right","author":"Greg Swann","date":"March 6, 2008","format":false,"excerpt":"I read about the outlawing of web site URLs in listings on the \"Welcome to Tempo\" page of the Arizona Regional Multiple Listings Services (ARMLS), but I wasn't certain it meant what it seemed to mean. Since I have been a Realtor, we have promoted our single-property websites in the\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Blogging"","block_context":{"text":"Blogging","link":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/category\/blogging\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":14848,"url":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/14848\/do-you-want-to-know-how-cool-armls-could-be-sell-it-as-a-business-and-see-what-someone-who-is-working-for-money-can-do-with-it\/","url_meta":{"origin":868,"position":2},"title":"Do you want to know how cool ARMLS could be? Sell it as a business and see what someone who is working for money can do with it.","author":"Greg Swann","date":"July 25, 2011","format":false,"excerpt":"Here's a true fact of life: Not-for-profit \"businesses\" suck. Don't believe me? We'll discuss it after you get back from the Department of Motor Vehicles. To be fair, I'm willing to regard the Arizona Regional Multiple Listings Service (ARMLS) as something of an exception, at least as administered by Bob\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Flourishing"","block_context":{"text":"Flourishing","link":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/category\/flourishing\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":2015,"url":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/2015\/announcing-the-phoenix-real-estate-technology-exchange-putting-flexmlss-feet-to-the-fire-so-you-dont-have-to\/","url_meta":{"origin":868,"position":3},"title":"Announcing The Phoenix Real Estate Technology Exchange: Putting flexmls’s feet to the fire so you don’t have to…","author":"Greg Swann","date":"October 8, 2007","format":false,"excerpt":"As promised, this morning a cadre of Phoenix-area webloggers are launching The Phoenix Real Estate Technology Exchange. From the brand new weblog's About page:The Phoenix Real Estate Technology Exchange is a group weblog created by the Phoenix real estate weblogging community, by members of the Arizona Regional Multiple Listings Service\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Blogging"","block_context":{"text":"Blogging","link":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/category\/blogging\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":1291,"url":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/1291\/birth-of-a-zillowbot-a-faster-way-to-pee-on-the-tree\/","url_meta":{"origin":868,"position":4},"title":"Birth of a Zillow.bot: A faster way to pee on the tree","author":"Greg Swann","date":"April 11, 2007","format":false,"excerpt":"I have a little prototype of a Zillow.bot. Here is all it does for now:It takes as input a download of listings from the ARMLS systemIt isolates the street address, the price, and the listing brokerage, throwing away all the other fieldsIt sorts these newly concatenated fields by street name\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Marketing"","block_context":{"text":"Marketing","link":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/category\/marketing\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":3652,"url":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/3652\/new-flexmls-system-is-a-bold-stride-into-the-twenty-first-century-for-phoenix-area-multiple-listings-service\/","url_meta":{"origin":868,"position":5},"title":"New FlexMLS system is a bold stride into the twenty-first century for Phoenix-area Multiple Listings Service","author":"Greg Swann","date":"August 2, 2008","format":false,"excerpt":"This is my column for this week from the Arizona Republic (permanent link). \u00a0New FlexMLS system is a bold stride into the twenty-first century for Phoenix-area Multiple Listings Service Metropolitan Phoenix got a brand new MLS system this week. MLS is the Multiple Listings Service, the system by which Realtors\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Marketing"","block_context":{"text":"Marketing","link":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/category\/marketing\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/868","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=868"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/868\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=868"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=868"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bloodhoundrealty.com\/BloodhoundBlog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=868"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}