Ya think it's easy?

“It ain’t a real ChaosScore™ unless it measures dog-barking complaints!”

As we talked about last year, the likelihood of rioting in any particular urban environment is broadly predictable by what I jokingly called a RiotScore™. The best tell is the Chief of Police, but by now we all know many ways of predicting where and why riots will occur.

A more granular way of looking at the same issue – where is the safety the residential real estate market is fleeing to? – is something I am calling the ChaosScore™: How much urban chaos is proximate to this home? That is to say: Is this an area where I am more likely to roll down my windows – or lock my doors?

Plausibly, there are Fair Housing issues here, since real estate agents are instructed to send safety questions to third-party resources – but the ChaosScore™ can be precisely that.

So: Like this: Within a three-mile radius, quantity of:

  • Supermarkets/pharmacies
  • Abortion clinics/gun stores
  • Check-cashing/payday-loan stores
  • Convenience stores/gas stations
  • Traffic lights/limited-access roadways

The lower the score, the better – unless you are plotting the location of your next McDonalds. I could think of other things to measure, but they’re all about non-residential uses of the land. This again is a color-blind way of looking at the impact of location on residential real estate appreciation: Anyone buying a home where the ChaosScore™ is high should expect worse results, going forward, compared with low-ChaosScore™ neighborhoods. Higher risk of both greater-commercialization and condemnation, as well.

And while I do not ever expect to see a ChaosScore™ on a realty.bot listing, this is the way to do real estate analysis when you are not trying to uphold a demonstrably false, palpably racist agenda.

Yesterday on BloodhoundBlog:

Brian Brady: How To Fix Florida Homeowner’s Insurance Costs.

In other news:

American Thinker: Portland’s mayor should resign first.

Joel Kotkin: The Green New Deal Will Impoverish America.

City Journal: Capitalist Havens of Free Speech: Market-driven innovation is providing new outlets for free expression in an increasingly intolerant media environment.

Townhall.com: The Oscar Speech That Went Viral…For a Good Reason.