There’s always something to howl about.

Author: Greg Swann (page 27 of 209)

Suburban Phoenix Real Estate Broker

Overnight News: Redfin pleads, “How can we be evil when we lose money so well?!?”

Ya think it's easy?

“When Grasshoppers say they’re making dog food, it’s really just slop. Go Ants!”

I wanted for this election to be about freedom versus Marxism. I definitely did not want for it to be about Coronavirus, when that came along, but I confess that I did not see that the underlying issue was everything versus China. In the end, though, we end up almost where I began: This election is the Ants versus the Grasshoppers. If the Ants lose this election, everyone loses. Go Ants!

Ramblin’ Gamblin’ Willie: The Grasshopper Rebellion.

Meanwhile, while I’ve been making fun of the Redfin race-piracy lawsuit, it’s important to keep perspective: It’s just another shake-down. I’m guessing Redfin will cave with an expensive cash settlement and some cheap demonstrations of faked contrition.

I would love it if any corporate weenie would stand up to this mishegos, but Redfin spent all Summer lying about racism and papering over the riots happening within blocks of its offices. God bless Glenn Kelman, who I hope has not been assimilated by The Borg, but I’m not looking for any big-balls moves from that direction.

Rob Hahn: Simple Solution to the Redfin Fair Housing Lawsuit. Long read, misses the point: It’s a shake-down. That’s all these lawsuits ever are, going back to Zillow on BloodhoundBlog, but going back to the Community Reinvestment Act, at least.

Glenn Kelman: Redfin & Fair Housing. I can’t imagine what it feels like to discover the burning need for simple human liberty so late in life, but perhaps this has not happened yet, anyway. Consider this: “Certainly no one can complain that Redfin itself has been greedy about our income as a corporation when, in our sixteen years of being a brokerage, we’ve never made an annual profit.” It’s like something out “Atlas Shrugged” – “Don’t call me evil! I’m good-hearted but inept, just like the next guy!” As above, I predict Redfin will pay to make this go away – which policy will invite still more predation.

In the world less shameless:

CNBC: Leaving New York: High earners in finance and tech explain why they left the ‘world’s greatest city.’ CTRL-F Read more

Overnight News: Hey, Redfin: What happens when you tell everyone you’re racist – and they believe you?

Ya think it's easy?

“Redfin? Now that’s good eatin’!”

Here’s the deal: If disparate impact is automatically racism, Asian and Jewish people should be suing pro-athletics. That’s what Glenn Kelman needs to say to swat the race pirates away.

Financial hurdles seek to qualify Ants and disqualify Grasshoppers. This has nothing to do with race, but every financial hurdle will seem to have disparate impact on different racial groups, depending on how exponents of those groups have expressed Ant or Grasshopper values over time.

That cannot possibly be Redfin’s fault. But Redfin and every brokerage that has transaction minimums – including all of the major iBuyers – will be devoured by race pirates until they are willing to explain how Ants get ahead in the world.

Getting ahead on my gloating, from September 22:

Greg Swann: A fun fact about #iBuyers? Every buy-box is redlining.

Color-me-Redfin is getting spanked:

AP: Fair housing groups: Redfin ‘redlines’ minority communities. Cannot not be so. Six Flags “redlines” short children – and dwarves! – on all the good rides.

Housing Wire: Redfin faces “redlining” lawsuit claiming it favors white neighborhoods. White people should sue about the even-better service the even-better-qualified Asian clients are getting. And everyone should sue waiters for the way they fawn over the big tippers!

In the so-far unspanked world:

CNBC: Smaller American cities see big interest from urban flight. CTRL-F ‘riot’; not found.

Forbes: The Serious Disconnect Between A Hot Residential Real Estate Market And The Coming Tsunami Of Foreclosures. CTRL-F ‘riot’; not found.

SFGate.com: San Francisco curbs virus but once-vibrant downtown is empty.

City Journal: San Francisco, Homeless Encampment: A new plan to turn the whole city into a shelter system might finally be the breaking point for residents.

Fox Business: American shoppers panic-buying as coronavirus spike aggravates year of upheaval.

The Federalist: Yes, Media Are Rigging The Election Against Half The Country. Here’s How.

Neil Patel: It’s Easy to Predict the Loser in Tuesday’s Election.

Matthew Continetti: The Next Populist Revolt.

Tyler O’Neil: Biden Pledges to Gut Religious Freedom Protections, Saying They Give ‘Hate’ a ‘Safe Harbor.’

Overnight News: When we are shielded solely by the courage of men like Tucker Carlson and Glenn Greenwald – that would be a government of men and not of laws.

Ya think it's easy?

“Fortune favors the brave? Fortune favors the well-prepared? My motto is: ‘You never can tell.’ Accordingly: Fortune favors the audacious!”

I closed a house yesterday – I’m bragging about it just below – so I refuse to despair. Life is luck, ab initio, and we can hope we will be lucky enough to make it past Election Day…

Yesterday on BloodhoundBlog:

Greg Swann: A Bloodhound’s fish story: $10k over list, $15k over market, 23 days total – and the seller’s total pre-market outlay was $257.50. It’s easy to forget this fact in our piles of self-important paperwork, but real estate representation is selling.

And in the harsh, cold, cruel world outside:

Forbes: Housing Affordability Inches Down, Despite Record-Low Mortgage Rates. CTRL-F ‘riot’; not found.

CNBC: Earnings for apartment owners show the pain of urban flight. CTRL-F ‘riot’; not found.

CNBC: There was a surprise drop in September home sales as buyers were priced out. CTRL-F ‘riot’; not found.

Housing Wire: Zillow Offers cuts 80 jobs, cites realignment. Another cry of financial pain? That’s usually what layoffs mean. But this could be an SJW purge – ditching the freethinkers. Expect a lot of this as corporations are taken over from within by Critical Theory Marxists recruited en masse from America’s “elite” universities Marxism factories. Was I to guess, I might suppose they are losing the people they hired with actual real life real estate experience. iBuyers in general seem committed to making every error ever made in real estate; experienced people ruin all the fun.

PJ Media: Joe Biden Pandering to the AFL-CIO Will Impact Millions of American Freelancers.

RedState: The War on Independent Contractors is a War on Working Women and Families.

Matt Taibbi: The media — and social media — drive to squelch information a menace no matter who wins election.

Matt Taibbi: Glenn Greenwald On His Resignation From The Intercept.

Hollywood in Toto: ‘Plot Against the President’ Shames Media, Deep State Agents. Not really a date-night movie, but it’s free on Prime.

A Bloodhound’s fish story: $10k over list, $15k over market, 23 days total – and the seller’s total pre-market outlay was $257.50.

I live a charmed life, just now, and I know it. The resale market in the Valley of the Ever-Fecund Sun has been all my way for seven-ish years, culminating in our current simmering state of frenzy.

The investors I work with bought and bought and bought when nobody was buying. We’ve managed those properties as rentals over the last decade, and for the past few years we have been divesting some of them. I just sold one, which we’re about to talk about, and I have more on deck. One flight to safety leads to another, it turns out.

So here’s my fish story: We just now closed on the sale of the house in the picture, on West Monroe Street in Coldwater Springs in Avondale, AZ. I was the Buyer’s Agent nine years ago, and we’ve managed it since then, with almost no vacancy and little in the way of costs. Ignoring all the rental income and the tax benefits, the investor tripled his initial investment at COE. Those funds are moving by 1031 exchange into something safer – to everyone’s relief.

That much is just buy-low/sell-high. My guys were cash-rich and credit-rich when nobody else was, so: “When there’s blood in the streets, buy land.” They were working with me, so we bought very carefully – wicked aggressive on price, but we bid only on properties that I knew would rent well and sell high. That much has proved true, so they were monied fishermen with a seasoned guide.

So here’s the fish story: I took the house back from the tenants at 9 am on September 30th. I had the deep-cleaners in with me by 9:30, and I had my punch-list: Half-a-dozen handyman jobs, plus two bigger issues I thought might come up on repairs. My plan was to list on October 8th, so there was plenty of time – with the tenants’ Security Deposit as a buffer on the budget. But the house was decent the way it was – or would be when the cleaners finished – and the market at that moment could not have been hotter.

Do the touch-ups Read more

Overnight News: “If I stay inside, I might live ’til Saturday.”

Ya think it's easy?

“All the world is a supermarket to my nose.”

Shelves looking a little bare at your supermarket? All Spring, I heard Steely Dan’s “King of the World” in my head every time I went shopping. Tomato juice was sold out yesterday, and there it was again: “I can’t be no savage. I can’t be no highwayman.”

I bought 32 packets of Taco seasoning. We might end up eating shredded golf-course goose, but we’re having Tacos.

My take: Make time to shop today. Buy food that keeps.

Housing Wire: Zillow: Pandemic uncertainty is keeping 34% of home sellers out of the market. CTRL-F ‘riot’; not found. There is a groundbreaking lawsuit against the City of Seattle for aiding and abetting the riots, but Zillow has Bidened all riot info, apparently.

Forbes: Is New York City’s Real Estate Market Really Tanking? I Asked Three Experts For The Brutal Truth. CTRL-F ‘riot’; not found.

Forbes: Eye-Tracking Software Reveals What Buyers Focus On Most When Touring A Home—And How You Can Use It To Your Advantage.

The Stream: The Landslide America Will Be Glad to Have.

Issues and Insights: Biden Looked Normal At The Debates, So Why Does He Appear Senile At Most Other Times?

John Podhoretz: Twitter’s threats to The Post echo those of authoritarian states — and the media shrugs.

Legal Insurrection: Leftists Are Physically Attacking Trump Supporters Just Like They Did in 2016.

The Washington Examiner: Kids today: 4 in 10 call Constitution ‘outdated,’ OK with silencing speech.

City Journal: City Hall Socialists: The far Left is making inroads into local government races.

The Federalist: The DOJ’s Lawsuit Against Yale Is How To Win The Culture War.

Overnight News: Is today the day China Joe takes the slow boat back to Scranton?

Ya think it's easy?

“A better question: Is today the day the Teddy Bears have their vengeance?”

Doomed to repeat it? History is being made before your eyes. Soon it may be running down your cheeks – or draining from an embalming table.

If you click on nothing else, watch the Tucker Carlson video. If the link doesn’t work (Youtube is fragile), search for another one.

Housing Wire: Home price index sees greatest gain in over 2 years. CTRL-F ‘riot’; not found. Phoenix wins, and soon will win still more.

CNBC: Homebuyer demand may have peaked as mortgage applications eke out a weekly gain. CTRL-F ‘riot’; not found. Let’s see what happens next week…

Housing Wire: Refis lead the way as mortgage applications rise 1.7%.

Tucker Carlson Tonight: Hunter Biden business partner Tony Bobulinski details his role in Joe Biden’s influence-peddling syndicate. See the DISC? Ci attacks the Sociability in Cs. Yet another unforced error in a year full of them.

PJ Media: Bobulinski Bombshell: The Bidens are ‘Compromised’ and Lying About Joe’s Knowledge of Hunter’s Deals With China.

The Federalist: The Hunter Biden Scandal Has Exposed The Corporate Press’s Corruption And Condescension.

Sarah J. Hoyt: How the Left Is Using Americans’ Empathy and Decency to Destroy Us.

The Washington Examiner: College undergrads: America is racist, looting ‘justified,’ reparations required.

Tyler O’Neil: Democrats Give Away the Game: They Want the Supreme Court to Unilaterally Amend the Constitution.

The American Mind: OK, Senator: Amy Coney Barrett puts the nail in the coffin of TV politics.

Overnight News: Federal government performs quotidian function amidst paroxysms of weeping, albeit with only one major riot.

Ya think it's easy?

“What do you call the bad guys who chased away the cops? The new cops.”

What’s the least-worst part about Amy Coney Barrett’s confirmation? For a welcome change, the left didn’t mount a huge, bogus smear campaign. That just means they’re effecting their evil elsewhere – e.g., court-packing – but it was nice to see a lady being treated almost like a lady.

CNBC: Home prices in August see biggest gains in more than two years, S&P Case Shiller says. CTRL-F ‘riot’; not found.

Housing Wire: Holy smokes — new home sales are up 32.1% year over year. CTRL-F ‘riot’; not found.

Forbes: The Hottest Housing Markets Right Now In 2020. CTRL-F ‘riot’; not found.

Housing Wire: The Three Cs of Post-Forbearance.

The Washington Examiner: Trump is forcing voters to grow up.

The Federalist: Big Tech Is Turning The United States Into A Giant Company Town.

Brendan O’Neill: People must have the right to mock Muhammad. Charlie Hebdo is right to republish the cartoons that caused such barbarism in 2015.

City Journal: Unfriending Free Speech: Who will guard the gatekeepers of our political discourse?

Issues and Insights: Left’s Post-Election Agenda: More Riots, ‘Truth Commissions,’ Other Punishment For Their Foes — That Means You.

City Journal: It’s Now the Barrett Court: The newest justice will change the dynamic among her colleagues.

Overnight News: So how many shoes can a centipede drop?

Ya think it's easy?

“‘Every kid deserves a back yard?’ Wrong! Every back yard deserves a dog!”

If you find yourself feeling sorry for China Joe Biden – all he has to do is get the hell out of the way.

Yesterday on BloodhoundBlog, me:

Greg Swann: Dear Daniel Morillo: Here’s why #OpenDoor’s houses sell so poorly – even in a blistering real estate market.

Outside our kennel:

Forbes: Demand Is Rising For Properties In Vacation Home Markets. CTRL-F ‘riot’; not found.

Vice: We Don’t Mine Enough Rare Earth Metals to Replace Fossil Fuels With Renewable Energy.

LifeSite: Shock poll claims 30% of U.S. women under 25 identify as LGBT: dire implications. Sell homes or home loans? Why do people want those things? Every kid deserves a back yard? What happens when there are a lot fewer kids?

Matt Taibbi: With the Hunter Biden Expose, Suppression is a Bigger Scandal Than The Actual Story.

Roger Kimball: A Momentous Election: Donald Trump may be an odd ambassador of freedom. But Joe Biden is but a gibbering front for a vanguard that would destroy America as traditionally conceived.

Angelo Codevilla: The Election to End All Elections: Trump, imperfect as he is, is like a finger in a dike that, if removed, would loose a deluge.

City Journal: Educating Patriots: In his “farewell” book, E. D. Hirsch, our foremost thinker on American schooling, sets his sights on fixing America itself.

Dear Daniel Morillo: Here’s why #OpenDoor’s houses sell so poorly – even in a blistering real estate market.

Once upon a time in my young career, I used to think about sending little notes to flailing sellers, telling them why their houses weren’t selling. Arguably, this would have been a violation of Article 15 of the NAR Code of (ahem) Ethics, but it would have been bad form regardless. Besides, I was making good money by picking off those mis-marketed listings for my buyers.

The terrible marketing errors of the REO listers is how we survived the downturn. I built software to predict how much I could underbid them and still snag the house. I wrote last Summer about how to apply those ideas to underbidding the iBuyers – who all seem to come from the REO world and who mis-market accordingly.

I confess: My current listing praxis is more than just a little informed by studying all the bonehead marketing mistakes I’ve seen over the years.

So for Daniel Morillo, newly hired by OpenDoor to convince Wall Street they’re not a joke, using just one listing, I will show you why OpenDoor’s houses sell slower and lower than they should – even in a market as hot as Suburban Phoenix at Peak 2020.

The first extracurricular research project I did for Zillow, when I was working as a pricing algorithm, concerned closing-cost concessions in their sales. They didn’t know what questions to ask, so I kept giving them incredibly-detailed technically-correct wrong answers.

What they actually wanted to know was this: “Why do so many of our transactions entail concessions?”

The answer? Because they’re mis-marketed. This is true of all listings: Discounted offers denote blood in the water. Since 2014 at the latest, in Metro Phoenix a properly-marketed bread-and-butter home should sell above, at or near fair-market-value in under 15 days, ideally under 5, to an all-cash or well-qualified conventional buyer. If you’re taking offers with closing cost concessions, you did something terribly wrong.

As it happens, the last research project I did for them, in June 2019, involved a much more direct question: “Why are a third of our listings over 90 Days-on-Market?”

The answer? They and all the other iBuyers were and are getting a Read more

Overnight News: Just how much more do you not want to know about Joe Biden and his wretched family?

Ya think it's easy?

“Just when you think you’ve seen everything…”

Today could challenge October 22 for Peak 2020. The amassed hypocrisy of ignoring Hunter’s laptop and all it implies is proving unsustainable. We can hope China Biden will withdraw before you learn more than you ever wanted to.

Rob Hahn: The Terrible, Horrible, No Good, Very Bad Day for REALTORS in the New York Senate.

Quillette: What Divides Us Is Class, Not Race.

Redstate: Now We Know Why Obama Picked Biden.

New York Post: Long-standing claims of Biden corruption all but confirmed with Hunter’s emails.

The Washington Examiner: Hunter Biden alleged sex tape and images uploaded on Bannon-connected Chinese website.

FEE.org: Socialist Critique of Libertarian Children’s Books Drives Massive Surge in Sales.

Overnight News: Deep State census weekend: Is every bigwig shielding Hunter Biden complicit?

Ya think it's easy?

“It only takes one big dog to stir up a fussin’ that lasts all night…”

Trump – or, rather, Trump Derangement Syndrome – gets people to reveal themselves. The Deep State is all-in for Biden, and Hunter’s laptop is showing you exactly who the Deep State is. If Trump wins, and if we’re very lucky, he rolls up the whole crime syndicate. If not? It rolls up you – and the whole world with you.

Forbes: Mortgage Rates Fall To 50-Year Low.

The Daily Caller: Chelsea Truck Company To Release A Bulletproof Jeep Wrangler ‘Protest Edition’ Following ‘Black Lives Matter’ Protests. How can you know for sure there are no riots? Because there are no riot-created market opportunities.

The Federalist: Of Course New York City Is A Ghost Town.

The Washington Examiner: The Second Amendment is as necessary today as it has ever been.

PJMedia: The Hunter Biden Corruption Scandal Is a Reckoning for the Legacy Media.

City Journal: Anarchy in New York? One senses order slipping away.

Don Feder: When Your House is Burning Down, Grab a Fire Extinguisher Fast: The one man who stands between us and the revolution.

City Journal: Wokefornia: California’s ethnic-studies mandate for K‒12ers is dead for now, but cultural Marxism is flourishing.

Overnight News: Yesterday was peak 2020 – and the climax of the Biden clan.

Ya think it's easy?

“I like toast – especially peanut-butter toast.”

As I foresaw, yesterday was one for the record books – and let’s pray that record is not eclipsed. I had a bunch of Biden corruption links, but I ditched them all. If you want to know about it, you will. And Joe is toast, regardless.

CNBC: Redfin CEO expects ‘absolutely insane’ demand in housing market to last into 2021. CTRL-F ‘riot’; not found.

Forbes: Compass Founder & CEO Robert Reffkin Weighs In On Today’s Real Estate Market. CTRL-F ‘riot’; not found.

Housing Wire: Existing home sales surge 9.4% in September.

Forbes: Mortgage Rates Hit New Low.

CNBC: Hamptons real estate prices break records as New York City wealthy flee to the beach.

The Federalist: Amy Coney Barrett Will Be Confirmed Because Kavanaugh Battle Taught GOP To Stop Getting Played By Democrat Dirty Tricks. If there are going to be smears, they’ll start now, when she can’t answer them.

City Journal: The Last Presidential Debate, Please.

Rod Dreher: No Families, No Children, No Future.

City Journal: Confronting Covid: The American response has been far better than critics acknowledge.

Overnight News: Pucker up: Today just might be peak 2020.

Ya think it's easy?

“Is everyone who vouches for a creep also a creep?”

Looking for a great debate question? Try this: “Vice President Biden, a week from the day after tomorrow is what date?” But the debate is just the end of this day, and there promises to be tons of ugly news before then. Buckle up: It’s about to get 2020 on you…

Housing Wire: The housing market faced uncertainty in March, but now ‘it’s a circus’.

Housing Wire: MBA forecast for 2021: Prepare for rising mortgage interest rates.

Housing Wire: In a bid for stability, FHFA and FHA extend forbearance policies.

City Journal: Budgeting Through Rose-Colored Glasses: For states and municipalities, assuming endless economic and population growth can bring disaster.

Frontpage: The City is Killing America: America’s real problem are urban problems.

The Washington Free Beacon: The Media’s Futile Information Suppression Complex: Hunter Biden’s corruption sees the light of day despite their best efforts.

American Greatness: The Antifa Industry at Work.

And just to start the day off right:

New York Post: Ghislaine Maxwell’s deposition about sordid sex life unsealed.

Overnight News: Need novelty? 2020 delivers.

Ya think it's easy?

“The official Bloodhound term for Joe Biden’s current situation is: Treed.”

I’m leaving out the #LaptopFromHell news today. You either already know how to find unfiltered news or your don’t mind being lied to. I expect it won’t matter, either way, by the end of the day.

Housing Wire: September single-family housing starts reached highest level since 2007.

CNBC: Mortgage demand from homebuyers falls for the fourth straight week.

Forbes: A Comparison Between Artichoke Hearts And Residential Rental Real Estate.

Rob Hahn: In Which I Propose an Alternative to NAR’s New Speech Code.

New York Post: Cops leaving Seattle police department over ‘socialist’ city council, riots. Aren’t there some big real estate companies in Seattle who might have written about events there over the Summer? Never forget it: Like police departments all over the country, we are led by cowards and fools.

The Federalist: Trump Resistance Plans ‘Mass Mobilization’ After Election To Shut Down The Country If Biden Doesn’t Win.

The Federalist: Joe Biden’s Education Department Would Be A Radical Disaster.

The Federalist: Secretary of Education Betsy DeVos: Families, Not Government, Are The Heart Of American Education.

City Journal: No More Debate Moderators: The collapse of trust in media makes a different format necessary.

NPR: Studies Point To Big Drop In COVID-19 Death Rates.

Vice: This 14-Year-Old’s Discovery Could Lead to a Cure for COVID-19.